Prediction for match Nottingham Forest — Manchester City, 27.12.2025

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the Premier League on December 27, Nottingham Forest will face Manchester City. Manchester City is favored to win with odds of 1.63, equating to a 60.50% probability. The odds for a draw are 4.58 (21.53%), while a Nottingham Forest victory is set at 5.49 (17.96%). Based on these odds, Manchester City is clearly the favorite, as reflected in the percentage distribution for the outcome. These figures represent the current balance of power between the teams and the bookmakers' expectations for the match result.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Nottingham Forest had an average ball possession of 53%, with an average of 2.4 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. During the same period, Manchester City showed 60% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per match. Nottingham Forest's last three matches were: December 22, 2025, Fulham - Nottingham Forest 1-0, December 14, 2025, Nottingham Forest - Tottenham 3-0, December 11, 2025, Utrecht - Nottingham Forest 1-2. Manchester City's recent matches: December 20, 2025, Manchester City - West Ham 3-0, December 17, 2025, Manchester City - Brentford 2-0, December 14, 2025, Crystal Palace - Manchester City 0-3. In their last head-to-head on April 27, 2025, Nottingham Forest lost to Manchester City 0-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Nottingham Forest had an average total of 2.2 goals, while Manchester City averaged 2.8. Nottingham Forest scored an average of 1.2 goals per game and conceded 1, whereas Manchester City scored 2.6 and conceded 0.2. In the last five matches, Nottingham Forest saw over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games, while Manchester City had this outcome in 4 out of 5. By halves, Nottingham Forest had over 1.5 goals in the first half in 1 out of 5 matches and in the second half in 2 out of 5, whereas Manchester City had over 1.5 in the first half in 3 out of 5 and in the second half in 1 out of 5. Nottingham Forest frequently scores between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (25% each), while they concede equally in three segments of the second half (46th-60th, 61st-75th, 76th-90th - 33% each). Manchester City most often scores between the 31st-45th minutes (44%) and concedes 60% of their goals in this period. Considering Manchester City's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 goal outcomes for both teams, and strong scoring stats, it's logical to consider a bet on over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.67.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In their last five matches, Nottingham Forest averaged 5 corners, while Manchester City averaged 4.4. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for Nottingham Forest was 2 out of 5, and for Manchester City, it was 1 out of 5. Looking at the total corners, the line closest to the average sum is 9.5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.71, and for under 9.5, they are 2.06. Manchester City is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.45. Statistically, both teams can earn corners, but the frequency of high totals is not very high. A moderate total on corners seems optimal, and Manchester City to win on this metric is also a consideration.