Prediction for match Novi Pazar — Backa Topola

Odds and Probability Percentages

In the Serbian Super Liga, Novi Pazar will face Backa Topola on 28.02.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Novi Pazar is the favorite: their win is priced at 1.99, a draw at 3.28, and a Backa Topola victory at 3.42. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 45.69% for a Novi Pazar win, 27.72% for a draw, and 26.59% for Backa Topola. These figures highlight Novi Pazar's advantage, but Backa Topola is not without hope, promising an intriguing battle for points. Options for betting on total goals and both teams to score are also offered with attractive odds, allowing for an optimal strategy for this clash.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Novi Pazar achieved the following results: 21.02.2026 - Vojvodina - Novi Pazar - 0-3, 15.02.2026 - Novi Pazar - OFK Belgrade - 2-1, 07.02.2026 - Crvena Zvezda - Novi Pazar - 5-0. Backa Topola in their last three games played as follows: 22.02.2026 - Backa Topola - Cukaricki - 1-1, 15.02.2026 - Mladost Lucani - Backa Topola - 1-3, 07.02.2026 - Javor - Backa Topola - 0-0. On average over five matches, Novi Pazar has 44.8% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 1 offside. Backa Topola has 51.8% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 17.2 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last head-to-head on 28.09.2025, Backa Topola defeated Novi Pazar 1-0. These stats show that both teams can compete and are evenly matched in several secondary metrics.

Goal Statistics

In a series of five matches, Novi Pazar has been prolific: over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5, with an average of 3.2 goals per match. The team scores an average of 1.4 and concedes 1.8. By halves, in 3 out of 5 matches, there were over 1.5 goals in the first half, but only 1 out of 5 in the second half. Backa Topola is more restrained in terms of goals: only 1 out of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals, with an average total of 1.8 goals, scoring 1 and conceding 0.8. In the first half, Backa Topola had no matches with over 1.5 goals, while in the second half, it was 2 out of 5. For goal intervals, Novi Pazar most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (30%), while Backa Topola scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (67%). Novi Pazar most often concedes in two intervals: 0-15 and 31-45 minutes (33% each), while Backa Topola concedes between the 61st and 75th minutes (43%). Overall, Novi Pazar leans towards a high-scoring profile, while Backa Topola tends to a low-scoring game, but the average stats of both teams suggest that betting on over 2.25 goals at 1.58 is an optimal choice, considering Novi Pazar's attacking potential and Backa Topola's ability to capitalize on their chances in the second half.

Corners: Numbers and Betting Options

On average, over five matches, Novi Pazar earns 5.2 corners, while Backa Topola gets 6.4. In a series of five games, both teams had 3 out of 5 matches with over 9.5 corners. The total closest to the average sum (11.6) is 11.5: over 11.5 corners is priced at 4.11, under 11.5 at 1.15. For corner outcomes, Novi Pazar is the favorite with odds of 1.84. Given the high average corner count and frequent occurrences of high totals, a bet on over 9.5 corners or more seems logical, especially if the teams maintain their usual dynamic from corner kicks.