Prediction for match Olympiakos — AEK Athens

Match Analysis: Olympiakos vs AEK Athens

In the central match of the Greek Super League, Olympiakos will face AEK Athens on October 26. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Olympiakos win at 1.73, draw at 3.70, AEK Athens win at 4.75. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Olympiakos - 54.59%, draw - 25.53%, AEK Athens - 19.88%. Based on these figures, Olympiakos is considered the favorite, but the gap isn't large enough to expect an easy victory. Additional odds on corner wins and total goals are also available, but the main interest is in the battle for points.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Olympiakos has averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 goals conceded per game, with an overall average total of 3.8. AEK Athens has higher averages in goals scored (2.2) and lower in goals conceded (1.4), with an average total of 3.6. In previous encounters, Olympiakos lost 1-6 to Barcelona (21.10), defeated Larisa 2-0 (18.10), and lost to PAOK 1-2 (05.10). Notable for AEK Athens is a big win over Aberdeen 6-0 (23.10) and a loss to PAOK 0-2 (19.10). In head-to-head matches in recent months, the teams exchanged victories: AEK Athens lost 0-2 to Olympiakos on April 27, but won 2-0 on April 2. In a series of the last five head-to-head matches, there were various results, including a big 6-0 win for Olympiakos (26.02).

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, both teams played over 2.5 total goals three times and under twice. Olympiakos has an average total of 3.8 goals, while AEK Athens has 3.6, indicating high scoring potential. In the first half, Olympiakos recorded over 1.5 goals twice out of five, AEK Athens three out of five. In the second half, both teams have three occurrences of over 1.5 goals out of five. The most frequent goal times for Olympiakos are between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (31% each), while for AEK Athens, it’s 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 (25% each). Olympiakos concedes most often between 46-60 minutes (33%), and AEK Athens between 31-45 and 46-60 (33% each).

Corner Statistics

Olympiakos averages 5.2 corners in the last five matches, AEK Athens 3. During the same period, the total over 9.5 corners occurred once for Olympiakos and never for AEK Athens. The match offers a total corners bet: over 8.5 at 1.85, under 8.5 at 1.95. A win on corners for Olympiakos is at 1.44. Based on these figures, a moderate number of corners can be expected, with a slight advantage for Olympiakos.