Prediction for match Olympiakos — Atromitos

Match Analysis: Olympiakos vs Atromitos

In the Greek Super League clash on November 22, Olympiakos will host Atromitos. The odds for an Olympiakos win are 1.14, a draw is priced at 6.85, and an Atromitos victory is at 20.00. In percentage terms: Olympiakos has an 81.74% chance, a draw is at 13.60%, and Atromitos at 4.66%. The bookmakers clearly favor Olympiakos, as reflected in the probability distribution. The outcome seems obvious, but the odds for a straightforward win are too low for a main bet, so it's worth focusing on the totals.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Olympiakos shows average stats: ball possession - 49.2%, yellow cards - 2.2, fouls - 10.4, offsides - 2. For Atromitos: possession - 51.8%, yellow cards - 2.6, fouls - 15, offsides - 2. Recent matches for Olympiakos: 09.11 Kifisia - Olympiakos 1-3, 04.11 Olympiakos - PSV 1-1, 01.11 Olympiakos - Aris 2-1. Atromitos' last three games: 09.11 Atromitos - Volos 0-1, 01.11 Atromitos - Kifisia 1-2, 25.10 OFI - Atromitos 1-3. In head-to-heads: 19.01.2025 Atromitos - Olympiakos 1-2 - over 2.5 goals was successful.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Olympiakos averages 3.6 goals per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding the same. For Atromitos: 2.6 goals on average, 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded. Over 2.5 goals occurred 3 out of 5 times for both teams in their last 5 matches. In the first half, Olympiakos had over 1.5 goals in only 1 out of 5 games, Atromitos in 2 out of 5. However, in the second half, Olympiakos had 3 out of 5 over 1.5, Atromitos 2 out of 5. Olympiakos most frequently scores between the 46th and 75th minutes (25% in each of the 46-60 and 61-75 intervals), while Atromitos scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (40%). Olympiakos and Atromitos concede in similar intervals: Olympiakos has 33% of goals against in 46-60 and 61-75, Atromitos 25% in 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90. This data and the frequency of over 2.5 goals suggest a high-scoring game, especially in the second half. Based on this, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems optimal.

Corner Totals Analysis

Olympiakos averages 4.8 corners over 5 games, Atromitos 4.2. Over 9.5 corners occurred 2 out of 5 times for both teams, under 3 times. Odds for corner totals: over 7.75 is at 1.48, under 9.5 at 1.52. Olympiakos is favored in corners with odds of 1.05. Given this data, expecting 8-10 corners in the match is logical, and a bet on over 7.75 or under 9.5 corners seems justified.