Prediction for match Osasuna — Athletic Club

Match Analysis: Osasuna vs Athletic Club

On January 3rd in La Liga, Osasuna will face Athletic Club. The odds for an Athletic Club victory are 2.67, for a draw 3.04, and for Osasuna 3.20. The probabilities are: Osasuna - 30.76%, draw - 32.38%, Athletic Club - 36.86%. Despite the minimal percentage gap, bookmakers slightly favor Athletic Club's success. Total goals options: Over 2.5 is at 2.49, Under 2.5 at 1.63, both teams to score: yes - 1.95, no - 1.78. Double chance 1X is priced at 1.54. These odds suggest a moderately scoring match with a possible fight for a draw.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Osasuna defeated Alaves 3-0, beat Huesca 4-2, and lost to Barcelona 0-2. Athletic Club won against Espanyol 2-1, overcame Ourense CF 1-0, and lost to Celta 0-2. In the head-to-head on March 30, 2025, Athletic Club and Osasuna played to a 0-0 draw. In a five-match series, Osasuna averaged 48.2% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Athletic Club showed 48% possession, 3.2 yellows, 12.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. These stats indicate a fairly even midfield battle and Osasuna's discipline in terms of cards. Both teams averaged 5.8 corners per match, confirming activity on the flanks. Osasuna shows stability in fouls and a moderate number of offsides, while Athletic Club has noticeably more yellow cards.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Osasuna displays a very high average total - 4.2 goals per game, scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.4. Athletic Club, on the other hand, only averages 1.4 goals, scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.8. For over 2.5 goals: Osasuna has 3 out of 5 on over, Athletic Club 1 out of 5. In the first half, Osasuna recorded 2 out of 5 on over 1.5, Athletic Club 1 out of 5. In the second half, Osasuna has 3 out of 5 on over 1.5, Athletic Club 1 out of 5. Timing of goals: Osasuna most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (45%) and concedes in the same period (67%). Athletic Club most often scores between 46-60 minutes (50%) and concedes evenly in three intervals: 31-45, 46-60, and 61-75 (33% each). These figures indicate Osasuna's clear over-profile and Athletic Club's low scoring. Despite Osasuna's high scoring rate, Athletic Club's low figures for goals scored and conceded, along with frequent unders on the 2.5 total, make a bet on under 2.5 at 1.63 the most logical. Supporting this choice is the fact that in their head-to-head in March 2025, the teams played to a 0-0 draw, and Athletic Club only once exceeded 2.5 in the five-match series.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

The average number of corners for both teams over 5 matches is 5.8 each. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Osasuna has 3 out of 5 on over, Athletic Club 4 out of 5. Among the corner totals, the one closest to the sum of the averages (11.6) is 11.5, with options: over 11.5 - 3.32, under 11.5 - 1.26. For corners, Athletic Club is the favorite with odds of 2.00. Given the teams' average activity and frequent over 9.5 totals, it's logical to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners (odds 2.00), or to focus on the high likelihood of over 8.5, which is at 1.61. It should also be noted that both teams actively use the flanks and earn many set-pieces, increasing the likelihood of a high number of corners in this match.