Prediction for match Osasuna — Atletico Madrid

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In La Liga on May 12, Osasuna will face Atletico Madrid. The odds for an Osasuna win are 2.63, for an Atletico Madrid win 2.74, and for a draw 3.70. In terms of percentages: Osasuna is rated at 37.44%, a draw at 26.62%, and Atletico Madrid at 35.94%. There is no clear favorite according to the odds and probabilities, as both teams are nearly evenly matched, which is reflected in the outcome odds. For the double chance, 1X is at 1.51, X2 at 1.55, and 12 at 1.32. For total goals: Over 2.5 is at 1.88, Under 2.5 at 2.07. Both teams to score: Yes - 1.62, No - 2.18. It's notable that the odds for over 2.5 goals are lower than for under 2.5, indicating a slight inclination towards a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

In a five-match series, Osasuna averages 47.8% ball possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Atletico Madrid, in the same period, shows 51% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 2 offsides per match. In Osasuna's last three games: May 8 - Levante vs Osasuna - 3:2, May 2 - Osasuna vs Barcelona - 1:2, April 26 - Osasuna vs Sevilla - 2:1. For Atletico Madrid: May 9 - Atletico Madrid vs Celta - 0:1, May 5 - Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid - 1:0, May 2 - Valencia vs Atletico Madrid - 0:2. In the last head-to-head on October 18, 2025, Atletico Madrid defeated Osasuna 1-0.

Goal Totals Statistics

In terms of goal activity, Osasuna has an average of 2.8 goals per game in their last five matches, Atletico Madrid 2.2. Osasuna scores 1.2 and concedes 1.6, while Atletico Madrid scores 1.2 and concedes 1. For over 2.5 goals: Osasuna had 3 out of 5 games with three or more goals, Atletico Madrid only 1 out of 5. By halves: Osasuna had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times out of 5, and the same in the second half. Atletico Madrid had no over 1.5 goals in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second half. By goal intervals: Osasuna scores most often between 76-90 minutes (50%) and concedes in the first 15 minutes (43%). Atletico Madrid scores most frequently between 46-60 minutes (60%) and concedes in two intervals - 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Overall, Osasuna's profile leans more towards overs, Atletico Madrid towards unders, but both teams average 1.2 goals. However, Osasuna has a higher average total goals in matches, with over 2.5 goals occurring 3 times out of 5. Given this, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.88 seems justified, considering both teams have tendencies towards high-scoring games, especially in the second halves.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Osasuna averages 3.4 corners per match, Atletico Madrid 5.6. In the last five matches, Osasuna had over 9.5 corners 2 times, Atletico Madrid 1 time. Combining the averages, the expected total is 9 corners. Among the available corner totals, over 9.5 is at 1.94, under 9.5 at 1.77. For corners, Osasuna is the favorite at 2.03. Considering both teams average about 9 corners together, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical, although the frequency of this total occurring in recent matches isn't very high. Individual corner totals could also be considered, with Atletico Madrid having a noticeably higher average than Osasuna.