Prediction for match Osasuna — Real Oviedo

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In La Liga on January 17, 2026, Osasuna will face Real Oviedo. According to the 1X2 odds, Osasuna is the favorite with odds of 1.84, which corresponds to a 53.51% probability of winning. A draw is priced at 3.56, with a probability of 27.66%. Real Oviedo's victory is at 5.23 with an 18.83% probability. This indicates Osasuna's advantage according to bookmakers, but a draw is also considered a likely outcome.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at recent matches, Osasuna played five games: Real Sociedad - Osasuna 6-5 (13.01.2026), Girona - Osasuna 1-0 (10.01.2026), Osasuna - Athletic Bilbao 1-1 (03.01.2026). In December, they also played Osasuna - Alaves 3-0 and Huesca - Osasuna 2-4. Real Oviedo's last five matches were: Real Oviedo - Real Betis 1-1 (10.01.2026), Alaves - Real Oviedo 1-1 (04.01.2026), Real Oviedo - Celta 0-0 (20.12.2025). In December, they faced Sevilla - Real Oviedo 4-0 and Real Oviedo - Mallorca 0-0. Over the five-match span, Osasuna averages 3 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, 1.8 offsides, and controls possession 48.2% of the time. Real Oviedo averages 2.4 yellow cards, 15 fouls, 2.2 offsides, and 49.2% possession. In their last head-to-head on November 3, 2025, Real Oviedo and Osasuna drew 0-0.

Goal Statistics

Osasuna's scoring in the last five matches is high: an average of 3.2 goals per match, scoring 2 and conceding 1.2. Real Oviedo's numbers are more modest: 1.6 goals per game, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.2. Osasuna has gone over 2.5 total goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while Real Oviedo has done so in only 1 out of 5. In the first half, Osasuna has gone over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, Real Oviedo in 1 out of 5. In the second half, Osasuna has gone over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, Real Oviedo in 3 out of 5. Osasuna frequently scores between the 31-45 and 76-90 minute marks (38% each), while Real Oviedo scores most often between 61-75 minutes (33%). In terms of goals conceded, Osasuna distributes them across the first hour, while Real Oviedo concedes half of their goals between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (50% each). Given Real Oviedo's low scoring and Osasuna's stable defense, along with Real Oviedo's frequent under 2.5 totals, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.65 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Osasuna averages 4.6 corners per game, Real Oviedo 5.4. In the last five matches, Osasuna has gone over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5, Real Oviedo in 2 out of 5. For a total corners line of 9.5, both outcomes are available: over 9.5 at 1.93, under 9.5 at 1.78. Osasuna is favored in corners with odds of 1.34. Combined, the teams average 10 corners per match, so a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified. Individual corner totals can also be considered, given both teams' activity in this area.