Prediction for match Pachuca — Puebla

Odds and probabilities for the match outcome

In Liga MX on March 8, 2026, Pachuca will face Puebla. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Pachuca is priced at 1.64, a draw at 3.78, and a victory for Puebla at 5.00. The probabilities for a win are distributed as follows: Pachuca - 56.76%, draw - 24.63%, Puebla - 18.62%. Pachuca appears to be the favorite, but a draw is also possible according to the percentages. Betting on total goals is also intriguing: over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.82, under 2.5 at 1.94, both teams to score at 1.80, and both teams not to score at 1.90. For individual totals: Pachuca over 1.5 goals at 1.73, Puebla over 0.5 goals at 1.54. For double chance, 1X is at 1.14, 12 at 1.23, X2 at 2.17. For the second half total goals: over 1.5 is at 2.03, under 1.5 at 1.72. All these odds allow for an optimal betting choice, considering the teams' statistics.

Team results and statistics

Pachuca in their last five matches shows average values: 47.4% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 19.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Puebla in the same period shows 39.4% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last three matches, Pachuca defeated Nexa 2-1 (04.03.2026), lost to Mazatlan 0-1 (28.02.2026), and beat Tigres UANL 2-1 (21.02.2026). Puebla in their last three games won against Tigres UANL 3-1 (05.03.2026), defeated Atletico San Luis 1-0 (28.02.2026), and lost to Club America 0-4 (21.02.2026). Their last head-to-head was on September 24, 2025: Puebla and Pachuca drew 2-2.

How many goals will be in the Pachuca vs Puebla match

In the last five matches, both teams have 3 matches with over 2.5 goals and 2 with under. The average total goals per match: Pachuca 2.6, Puebla 2.8. Pachuca scores an average of 1.8 goals per game and concedes 0.8, while Puebla scores 1.2 and concedes 1.6. By halves, Pachuca has 2 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 2 in the second, Puebla has 1 in the first and 3 in the second. This indicates that both teams are capable of scoring, especially in the second half. The most frequent interval for goals for both teams is the 31-45 minute mark: Pachuca - 56%, Puebla - 40%. For conceded goals, both teams are most vulnerable at the end: Pachuca - 50% in the 76-90 interval, Puebla - 44% in the same period. All this suggests a high-scoring match, where over 2.5 goals seems a justified choice. The odds for this outcome are 1.82.

Betting on corners

Pachuca averages 5.4 corners per match, Puebla 4.4. In the last 5 games, Pachuca has 3 matches with over 9.5 corners, Puebla has 2. Among the corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (9.8) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.71, under 9.5 at 2.00. For the outcome on corners, the favorite is Pachuca with odds of 1.60. Considering the averages and frequencies, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical, as both teams regularly deliver at least 4-5 corners per game. Also, considering Pachuca's advantage in average deliveries, a bet on Pachuca to win on corners is worth considering.