Prediction for match Pachuca — UNAM Pumas

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On May 15, in Liga MX, Pachuca will face UNAM Pumas. The odds for a Pachuca win are 1.98, a draw is priced at 3.92, and a victory for UNAM Pumas is at 3.48. Pachuca's chances of success are 48.21%, a draw is at 24.35%, and UNAM Pumas has a 27.43% chance. Pachuca is considered the favorite according to the odds, but the gap between the teams isn't large, promising an exciting contest. Among the additional markets, the over 2.5 goals market at 1.78 looks appealing given both teams' attacking profiles.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last three matches, Pachuca has secured two victories: they defeated Toluca 2-0 on May 10, beat Toluca 1-0 on May 4, and lost 2-0 to UNAM Pumas on April 25. UNAM Pumas drew 3-3 with Club America on both May 11 and May 3, and won 2-0 against Pachuca on April 25. In their head-to-head on April 25, UNAM Pumas came out on top with a 2-0 victory. Over the last five matches, Pachuca averages 37.2% possession, 3 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 1 offside per game. UNAM Pumas shows 53% possession, 2 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides on average per match. These stats indicate a more controlling style from UNAM Pumas and high intensity in midfield battles.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Pachuca has an average total of 2.6 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2 per game. UNAM Pumas has been prolific, with an average of 4.4 goals per match, scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.6. Pachuca has seen over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 games, while UNAM Pumas has in 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times for Pachuca and 4 times for UNAM Pumas, and in the second half, it was 2 and 3 times respectively. Pachuca most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minute (43%), while UNAM Pumas tends to score late, from the 76th to 90th minute (40%). Pachuca most often concedes in the first 15 minutes (29%) and late in the game (29%), while UNAM Pumas concedes most from the 31st to 45th minute (46%). Given UNAM Pumas' high scoring rate, Pachuca's decent stats, and the regular occurrence of over 2.5 goals for both teams, betting on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Pachuca averages 4 corners per game, while UNAM Pumas averages 2.8. In the last five matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 3 times for Pachuca and 2 times for UNAM Pumas. When considering corner bets, it's logical to note both teams' moderate profiles in this aspect. Given the averages, one can expect 6-8 corners per match. In terms of set-piece battles, Pachuca appears slightly more active, but no significant advantage in corners is evident. Bets on corner totals might interest those who prefer moderate lines.