Prediction for match Palmeiras — Atletico Paranaense

Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Atletico Paranaense

On April 19th, Palmeiras will face Atletico Paranaense in the Brazilian Serie A. The odds for a Palmeiras win are 1.61, a draw is at 3.95, and an Atletico Paranaense victory is priced at 6.02. In terms of probability, Palmeiras has a 59.70% chance of winning, a draw is at 24.33%, and Atletico Paranaense has a 15.97% chance. Palmeiras is considered the favorite according to both the odds and probabilities, which is also supported by their recent form.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Palmeiras has maintained 58% ball possession, received an average of 1.2 yellow cards, committed 11.4 fouls, and recorded 2.4 offsides per game. During the same period, Atletico Paranaense has had 51% possession, received 1.4 yellow cards, committed 14.4 fouls, and recorded 1.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Palmeiras played as follows: 16.04.2026 - Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal - 2-1, 12.04.2026 - Corinthians vs Palmeiras - 0-0, 09.04.2026 - Junior Barranquilla vs Palmeiras - 1-1. Atletico Paranaense in the same period: 12.04.2026 - Atletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense - 2-0, 05.04.2026 - Atletico Mineiro vs Atletico Paranaense - 2-1, 01.04.2026 - Bahia vs Atletico Paranaense - 3-0. In their last head-to-head on 01.09.2024, Atletico Paranaense lost to Palmeiras 0-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Palmeiras has averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded, while Atletico Paranaense has averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded. The average total goals per match for Palmeiras is 2.2, and for Atletico Paranaense, it's 3. Both teams have gone over 2.5 goals in three of their last five matches. For halftime totals, Palmeiras has seen over 1.5 goals once in the first half and twice in the second half. Atletico Paranaense has seen over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and three times in the second half. Palmeiras distributes their goals evenly across all segments, with 17% in each of the six intervals. Atletico Paranaense scores most frequently at the end of matches (76-90 minutes, 31%). Palmeiras concedes most often between 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (40% each). Atletico Paranaense concedes most frequently between 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (50% each). Considering both teams' average scoring, with both teams going over 2.5 goals in three out of five matches, and goal distribution by halves, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.96 seems justified.

Corner Betting

Over their last five matches, Palmeiras has averaged 7.8 corners, while Atletico Paranaense has averaged 4.4. Palmeiras has seen over 9.5 total corners in four out of five matches, while Atletico Paranaense has seen this twice. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (12.2) is 11: over 11 total corners is priced at 2.43, under 11 at 1.50. Palmeiras is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.36. Given Palmeiras' high activity on corners, it makes sense to consider betting on their individual total corners over 7.5, as well as the overall total over 11 for those seeking higher odds.