Prediction for match Palmeiras — Botafogo

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

In Brazil's Serie A on 18.03.2026, Palmeiras will face Botafogo. Bookmakers clearly favor Palmeiras: their victory is priced at 1.60, a draw at 4.16, and Botafogo's win at 5.71. In terms of probability, Palmeiras has a 60.07% chance of winning, a draw is at 23.10%, and Botafogo has a 16.83% chance. The betting line also includes options for total goals, both teams to score, and individual performances, allowing for various betting strategies on this match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last 5 matches, Palmeiras has an average possession of 55.6%, receives 0.8 yellow cards, commits 8.8 fouls, and records 1 offside per match. Botafogo has higher possession at 60.6%, with 1.2 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 0.2 offsides. Recent matches for Palmeiras: 15.03.2026 - Palmeiras vs Mirassol - 1-0, 12.03.2026 - Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras - 2-1, 08.03.2026 - Novorizontino vs Palmeiras - 1-2. For Botafogo: 14.03.2026 - Botafogo vs Flamengo - 0-3, 11.03.2026 - Botafogo vs Barcelona SC - 0-1, 07.03.2026 - Botafogo vs Bangu - 3-1. The last head-to-head was on 17.08.2025: Botafogo vs Palmeiras - 0-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over their last five matches, Palmeiras shows an average total of 2.2 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.8 per game. Botafogo has an average total of 2.0, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2. For over 2.5 goals: Palmeiras has 3 out of 5 matches over, Botafogo 2 out of 5. For more than 1.5 goals in the first half, Palmeiras achieved this in 2 out of 5, Botafogo 1 out of 5. In the second half, similarly: Palmeiras 2 out of 5, Botafogo 1 out of 5. Goal intervals show Palmeiras often scores between 16-30 minutes (29%) and 61-75 minutes (29%), while conceding between 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (40% each). Botafogo scores most frequently between 16-30 (50%) and 46-60 minutes (50%), while conceding in the first 15 minutes (33%) and 61-75 minutes (33%). Based on the statistics, neither team is particularly high-scoring, but Palmeiras consistently finds the net and has the edge in attacking metrics. Meanwhile, Botafogo scores less than a goal per game, and over 2.5 goals is not common. Considering these factors, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 2.03 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Palmeiras averages 2.4 corners per match, Botafogo 4. For over 9.5 corners: Palmeiras has 1 out of 5, Botafogo 2 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, there's a line at 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.73, under 9.5 at 1.99. Palmeiras is favored for the corner outcome with odds of 1.37. Based on average figures, a bet on under 9.5 corners seems logical, as neither team shows high activity in this component. A bet on Palmeiras to win the corner count is also worth considering.