Prediction for match Palmeiras — Vitoria, 05.02.2026

Match Preview

In Brazil's Serie A on February 5th, Palmeiras will face Vitoria. According to the 1X2 odds, Palmeiras is the favorite, with odds of 1.38 for their victory, 4.92 for a draw, and 8.55 for Vitoria's win. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 69.35% for Palmeiras to win, 19.45% for a draw, and 11.19% for Vitoria to win. Among the total goals bets, over 2.5 goals at 1.78 is particularly interesting, reflecting the attacking potential of both teams and their recent match statistics.

Recent Matches Overview

In their last five games, Palmeiras had an average possession of 52.2%, committed an average of 0.8 offsides, 9.6 fouls, and received 0.8 yellow cards per game. Vitoria, during the same period, had 37.6% possession, 1.2 offsides, 13.6 fouls, and 1.8 yellow cards. Palmeiras' last three matches: 01.02.2026 Botafogo SP - Palmeiras 1-0, 28.01.2026 Atletico Mineiro - Palmeiras 2-2, 24.01.2026 Palmeiras - Sao Paulo 3-1. Vitoria played: 28.01.2026 Vitoria - Remo 2-0, 07.12.2025 Vitoria - Sao Paulo 1-0, 03.12.2025 RB Bragantino - Vitoria 4-0. In their last head-to-head on 19.11.2025, Palmeiras and Vitoria drew 0-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match span, Palmeiras averages 2.8 goals per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6. Vitoria averages 2.6 goals, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.0. For over 2.5 goals, Palmeiras had 3 out of 5 matches, and Vitoria had 2 out of 5. In the first half, Palmeiras had 3 out of 5 over 1.5, and Vitoria had 2 out of 5. In the second half, both teams had 2 out of 5 over 1.5. Palmeiras most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minute (36%), and concedes evenly in three periods: 0-15, 16-30, and 76-90 (33% each). Vitoria distributes its goals evenly across all intervals, 20% in each of the five segments, but concedes mostly in the first 15 minutes (67%). Given the average scoring rate, frequency of over 2.5 goals, and goal distribution by halves, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.78 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Palmeiras averages 3.8 corners per game, while Vitoria averages 4. Both teams have over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 matches. The line closest to the average total (7.8) is 7.5: over 7.5 corners is at 1.20, under 7.5 at 3.85. You can also consider over 9.5 at 1.63 and under 9.5 at 2.13. For corners outcome, Palmeiras is favored with odds of 1.40. Overall, both teams tend to be active on the wings, as evidenced by the frequent occurrence of high corner totals.