Prediction for match Panathinaikos — AEK Athens, 30.11.2025

Match Analysis: Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens

The Greek Super League will feature a clash between Panathinaikos and AEK Athens, scheduled for November 30, 2025. Bookmakers have set close odds: Panathinaikos win at 2.62, AEK Athens win at 2.70, and a draw at 3.12. According to the probabilities, Panathinaikos has a 35.59% chance of winning, AEK Athens has 34.53%, and a draw is at 29.88%. There's no clear favorite, and the odds reflect a tight contest, with the percentage distribution highlighting a potentially hard-fought match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Panathinaikos has had 49.6% ball possession, averaged 2.6 yellow cards, committed 13 fouls, and recorded 1.6 offsides per game. AEK Athens has higher possession at 66%, with an average of 2.8 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Recently, Panathinaikos defeated Sturm Graz 2-1 (27.11), thrashed Panserraikos 3-0 (23.11), and beat PAOK 2-1 (09.11). AEK Athens has won against Fiorentina 1-0 (27.11), Aris 1-0 (23.11), and OFI 1-0 (09.11). In their head-to-head on May 4, 2025, AEK Athens lost to Panathinaikos 1-2, with over 2.5 goals scored.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Panathinaikos' last five games, over 2.5 goals occurred 3 times, and under 2.5 twice. All of AEK Athens' last 5 matches ended with under 2.5 goals. For Panathinaikos, over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred twice and once in the second half, while AEK Athens had no such occurrences. Panathinaikos averages 2.2 goals per match, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.6. AEK Athens averages 1.2 goals per game, scoring exactly 1 and conceding just 0.2. Panathinaikos often scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (60%), while AEK Athens scores in the final 76-90 minutes (100%). Panathinaikos is more likely to concede between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (29% each), while AEK Athens concedes equally between the 16th-30th, 31st-45th, and 61st-75th minutes (33% each). Given AEK Athens' low scoring in recent matches and the overall trend towards under 2.5 goals for both teams, it makes sense to consider a bet on under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.70.

Corner Totals Analysis

Panathinaikos averages 5 corners per match, while AEK Athens averages 7.4. In their last five games, Panathinaikos had over 9.5 corners twice, and AEK Athens did so four times. The total closest to their combined average (12.4) is 11.5: odds for over 11.5 are 3.92, and for under 11.5, 1.19. Panathinaikos is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.88. Considering both teams' high corner counts, an active play on the wings and a significant number of corners, especially from AEK Athens, can be expected.