Prediction for match Panathinaikos — AEK Athens

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Greek Super League, Panathinaikos will face AEK Athens on May 3. According to the 1X2 odds, AEK Athens is the favorite with odds of 2.29, which corresponds to a 40.90% probability. A draw is priced at 3.12, with a 30.02% chance. A Panathinaikos win is valued at 3.22, with a 29.09% probability. The market also includes bets on total goals, both teams to score, and individual totals. However, AEK Athens' victory stands out in terms of statistical support and odds.

Team Results and Statistics

Panathinaikos averages 53.2% ball possession over the last five matches, with 1.6 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. AEK Athens averages 50.2% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 17.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last three matches, Panathinaikos lost to Olympiacos 0-2 (19.04.2026), drew with PAOK 0-0 (05.04.2026), and defeated Asteras 2-1 (22.03.2026). AEK Athens won against PAOK 3-0 (19.04.2026), beat Rayo Vallecano 3-1 (16.04.2026), and lost to Rayo Vallecano 0-3 (09.04.2026). In their last head-to-head on 18.01.2026, AEK Athens thrashed Panathinaikos 4-0.

Goal Scoring Trends

Panathinaikos averages a total of 1.8 goals per match over the last five games, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.4. AEK Athens averages 2.8 total goals, scoring 2 and conceding 0.8. For over 2.5 goals: Panathinaikos has 2 out of 5, AEK Athens has 4 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half: both teams have 3 out of 5. In the second half, for over 1.5 goals, Panathinaikos has only 1 out of 5, AEK Athens has 2 out of 5. Panathinaikos distributes their goals evenly across all intervals - 20% each fifteen-minute segment, while they concede most often at the end of the first half (31-45 minute - 100%). AEK Athens scores most frequently in the first 15 minutes and at the end of the first half (25% each), conceding mostly at the start of the match (50% in the 0-15 interval) and after the break (50% in the 46-60 interval). Overall, AEK Athens is consistently more effective, while Panathinaikos struggles in attack, as shown by their low average goals scored. Based on this data, choosing AEK Athens to win seems a logical prediction.

Corner Bets

Panathinaikos averages 3.6 corners per game, while AEK Athens averages 5.4. For over 9.5 corners, Panathinaikos has 1 out of 5, AEK Athens has 0 out of 5. Among the corner totals, the line closest to the average values (9) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is 2.08, under 9.5 is 2.10. In the corner outcome market, AEK Athens is favored with odds of 1.85. Based on the statistics and odds, betting on AEK Athens to win on corners seems justified, with the total corners likely around 9-10 per match.