Prediction for match PAOK — Aris

Match Analysis: PAOK vs Aris

On December 7th, as part of the Greek Super League, PAOK will face Aris. According to the 1X2 odds, PAOK is seen as the clear favorite: their victory is priced at 1.49 with a probability of 62.87%. A draw is at 4.10 (22.85%), while an Aris win is at 6.56 (14.28%). These odds reflect a significant advantage for PAOK, as expected by the bookmakers. In percentage terms, PAOK's edge is substantial, which is also supported by the teams' statistics over the last five games.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, PAOK played as follows: November 30 - Levadiakos vs PAOK - 2-3, November 27 - PAOK vs Brann - 1-1, November 23 - PAOK vs Kifisia - 3-0. Aris's last three games were: November 29 - Aris vs Larisa - 2-1, November 23 - AEK Athens vs Aris - 1-0, November 9 - Aris vs Asteras - 0-0. Looking at the averages over the last five matches, PAOK has 60% ball possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Aris shows 43% ball control, 2.4 warnings, 14.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their head-to-head on December 3, Aris and PAOK drew 1-1, adding intrigue to the upcoming match.

How Many Goals to Expect?

PAOK has been scoring well in their last five games, averaging 3.4 goals per match, with the club scoring 2.4 and conceding 1. Aris is more modest, averaging 1.8 goals, scoring 0.8 themselves and conceding the same. For the over 2.5 goals market, PAOK has 4 out of 5 matches over, while Aris has 2 over and 3 under. In the first half, PAOK has 2 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, while Aris has all 5 under. In the second half, PAOK again leads with 4 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, Aris has 2 out of 5. In terms of scoring timing, PAOK often scores between minutes 61-75 (25%) and 76-90 (25%), while Aris scores mostly between 46-60 (50%). PAOK concedes mostly towards the end (76-90 - 33%), while Aris's concessions are spread between 0-15, 61-75, and 76-90 (33% each). Considering PAOK's high scoring rate, frequent overs on the 2.5 line, and Aris's weak attack, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.92 seems optimal: Aris has an under-profile, and PAOK might settle for a narrow win.

Analysis of Corner Totals

PAOK averages 6.2 corners per game, Aris - 5.2, totaling 11.4. In the last five matches, PAOK had 2 out of 5 over 9.5 corners, Aris had 4 out of 5 over. The corner line is set at 9.5: over 9.5 is at 2.18, under 9.5 is at 1.56. PAOK is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.21. It makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, given the high averages of both teams and Aris's frequent overs. Additionally, PAOK's advantage in deliveries is supported by the odds.