Prediction for match PAOK — Asteras

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Greek Super League match between PAOK and Asteras on March 1, 2026, bookmakers clearly favor PAOK. The odds for a PAOK win are 1.26, a draw is priced at 5.35, and an Asteras win is at 11.50. The probability distribution is as follows: PAOK - 74.35%, draw - 17.51%, Asteras - 8.15%. These figures highlight a significant difference in class and current form between the teams. Against this backdrop, PAOK is the clear favorite, while Asteras faces a tough challenge.

Recent Match Performance

In their last three matches, PAOK lost 0-1 to Celta on February 26, drew 1-1 with Larisa on February 22, and lost 1-2 to Celta on February 19. During the same period, Asteras lost 1-2 to Atromitos on February 21, lost 1-3 to Panetolikos on February 14, and defeated Volos 2-0 on February 7. Their last head-to-head ended in a 3-3 draw on September 28, 2025. Over the last five matches, PAOK averaged 54.8% possession, 10.6 fouls, 2.2 offsides, and 1.6 yellow cards. Asteras averaged 48.2% possession, 14.8 fouls, 0.8 offsides, and 2 yellow cards. These stats suggest PAOK controls the ball more, while Asteras plays more physically and commits more fouls.

Goal Predictions for PAOK vs Asteras

In their last five matches, PAOK has shown low scoring: averaging 1.2 goals per match, scoring 0.4 and conceding 0.8 per game. Only one of their five matches exceeded 2.5 goals, with four matches ending under. Only once in the first half did they exceed 1.5 goals, and never more than two goals in the second half. Asteras, on the other hand, shows a higher pace: averaging 3.2 total goals, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.2 per game. Four out of five Asteras matches exceeded 2.5 goals, with three overs in the first half and three in the second. PAOK most frequently scores between 61-75 minutes (50%) and concedes between 31-45 minutes (67%). Asteras is most productive between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), and concedes most often between 16-45 minutes (29%). Given PAOK's low scoring and Asteras's high conceding rate, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems justified, especially since only 1 of PAOK's 5 matches went over, compared to 4 of Asteras's. The odds for under 2.5 goals are 2.08.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

PAOK averages 4.2 corners over their last five matches, while Asteras averages 5. In terms of exceeding 9.5 corners, only 1 of PAOK's matches went over, compared to 2 of Asteras's. The closest total to their averages is 9.5, with odds available for both: over 9.5 corners at 2.03, under 9.5 at 1.68. PAOK is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.05. Given the average activity of both teams, a bet on under 9.5 corners looks logical, as neither team frequently exceeds this mark. Additionally, considering PAOK's favorite status in corners, a bet on PAOK to win the corners battle is also worth considering.