Prediction for match PSG — Monaco

Match Preview

In the Champions League on 25.02.2026, PSG will face Monaco. According to the 1X2 odds, PSG is the clear favorite: a win for PSG is priced at 1.29, a draw at 6.65, and a win for Monaco at 11.10. The probability percentages are as follows: PSG - 76.32%, draw - 14.81%, Monaco - 8.87%. Thus, bookmakers virtually give Monaco no chance of success in this encounter, and the main interest lies in the match's goal-scoring potential, considering both teams' attacking profiles. There are several options in the goal totals line with odds above 1.50, allowing for a bet backed by recent match statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, PSG recorded the following results: 21.02.2026 - PSG vs. Metz - 3-0, 17.02.2026 - Monaco vs. PSG - 2-3, 13.02.2026 - Rennes vs. PSG - 3-1. Over the same period, Monaco played as follows: 21.02.2026 - Lens vs. Monaco - 2-3, 17.02.2026 - Monaco vs. PSG - 2-3, 13.02.2026 - Monaco vs. Nantes - 3-1. In their last head-to-head meeting on 17.02.2026, Monaco lost to PSG 2-3. In additional metrics over a five-match span, PSG averages 68% possession, 0.4 yellow cards, 7.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Monaco averages 45.2% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 1 offsides. These figures highlight the style difference: PSG controls the ball and plays carefully, while Monaco is more aggressive and commits more fouls.

How Many Goals Will Be in the PSG vs. Monaco Match

Goal totals statistics indicate high scoring from both teams. In PSG's last five matches, the total over 2.5 has occurred 5 out of 5 times, while for Monaco, it has occurred 4 out of 5 times. PSG averages 4 goals per match, while Monaco averages 3.6, confirming an over-profile. PSG scores an average of 2.8 goals per game and concedes 1.2, while Monaco scores 1.8 and concedes 1.8. In terms of halves, PSG has had a total over 1.5 in the first half 4 out of 5 times, and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Monaco has had 2 out of 5 in both halves. PSG most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (27%) and concedes between the 16th and 30th minutes (43%). Monaco most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (40%) and concedes between the 61st and 75th (44%). This profile of both teams suggests at least three goals in the match. The line on total over 3.5 is at 1.84, which seems optimal considering recent match statistics and average scoring. Both teams regularly score, and their head-to-head matches also often feature high scores.

Corners in the Match

PSG averages 6.2 corners in their last five matches, while Monaco averages 4.2. Both teams have the same result for the frequency of total over 9.5 corners: 2 out of 5 matches. The line on total corners offers "over 9.5" at 1.81 and "under 9.5" at 1.89, which is close to the combined average of both teams (10.4). PSG is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.16. It's logical to expect PSG to control the ball more and earn corners, and the overall total of corners could exceed 9.5, considering both teams' attacking tendencies and playing style in recent matches. Meanwhile, Monaco is also capable of adding activity on the flanks, increasing the likelihood of the over-total on corners.