Prediction for match PSG — Paris FC

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On January 12, in the Coupe de France, PSG will face Paris FC. The odds for a PSG victory are 1.18, a draw is at 6.80, and a win for Paris FC is priced at 12.50. According to the probabilities, PSG has a 78.87% chance of winning, a draw is at 13.69%, and Paris FC has a 7.45% chance. These figures clearly favor PSG, as reflected in the current odds for the main outcomes. Interestingly, the gap between the teams in terms of winning probability is significant, with a draw and a win for Paris FC considered unlikely events.

Teams' Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, PSG averaged 63.6% ball possession, received 1.4 yellow cards, committed 9.4 fouls, and had 1 offside per game. During the same period, Paris FC showed 56.6% possession, recorded 1.6 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In the last three encounters, PSG defeated Marseille 6-3 (08.01), won against Paris FC 2-1 (04.01), and beat Flamengo 3-2 (17.12). Paris FC, in their last three matches, lost to PSG 1-2 (04.01), thrashed Raon-l'Étape 3-0 (20.12), and lost to Toulouse 0-3 (13.12). In their head-to-head match on January 4, PSG was stronger with a 2-1 scoreline.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, PSG's average total goals per game is 2.8, while Paris FC's is 2.2. PSG scored an average of 1.6 goals per game, and Paris FC 1 goal, with both teams conceding 1.2. For over 2.5 goals: both teams had 3 out of 5 matches end with three or more goals. By halves, PSG had over 1.5 goals in the first half once and three times in the second half out of five matches. Paris FC had over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and twice in the second half. PSG most frequently scored between the 31st and 45th minutes (43%), while Paris FC scored in the same interval (50%). For goals conceded, PSG had three intervals with equal figures (31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 - each 29%), and Paris FC in the 31-45 minutes (33%). Given both teams' average scoring, frequent over 2.5 goals, and second-half activity, a bet on over 3.5 goals at 1.88 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

In the last five games, PSG averaged 6 corners, and Paris FC 4.4. In three out of five matches, PSG had over 9.5 corners, while Paris FC had it twice. Looking at the odds, for a total of 9.5 corners, there's a pair: over 9.5 - 1.84, under 9.5 - 1.84. For corner outcomes, PSG is the favorite with odds of 1.08. Based on the average corner activity and frequency of over 9.5 totals, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified.