Prediction for match Parma — Genoa, 18.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Serie A on January 18th, Parma and Genoa face off. The odds for the main outcomes are quite balanced: a draw is priced at 2.86, a win for Parma at 2.98, and for Genoa at 3.02. The probability distribution is as follows: Parma - 33.02%, draw - 34.40%, Genoa - 32.58%. This balance suggests that bookmakers do not see a clear favorite, and the match is expected to be tightly contested. The total goals markets also reflect caution: over 1.5 goals is at 1.50, under 2.5 goals at 1.59. Both teams to score: yes - 1.99, no - 1.74. The most likely outcome according to the odds is a draw, but the difference between the teams is minimal.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Parma has been inconsistent in gaining points: a draw with Napoli (0-0), a win over Lecce (2-1), a loss to Inter (0-2), a draw with Sassuolo (1-1), and a narrow victory over Fiorentina (1-0). Over the same period, Genoa drew with Milan (1-1), defeated Cagliari (3-0), drew with Pisa (1-1), lost to Roma (1-3), and were beaten by Atalanta (0-1). On average over five matches, Parma's possession is 43.2%, yellow cards - 1.4, fouls - 10, offsides - 0.6. Genoa's possession is 42.6%, yellow cards - 1.2, fouls - 11.6, offsides - 2. In their last head-to-head on October 19, 2025, the teams played out a 0-0 draw, highlighting the tendency for cautious play between these opponents.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The teams' scoring in the last five-match series is moderate. Parma's average goals per match is 1.6, and Genoa's is 2.4. Parma scores and concedes 0.8 per game, while Genoa scores and concedes 1.2. For over 2.5 goals, Parma had only 1 occurrence out of 5, and Genoa 2 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for Parma and twice for Genoa. Similarly, in the second half: once for Parma and twice for Genoa. Parma most frequently scores in the 0-15 minute interval (67%), while Genoa also tends to score early (38%). For goals conceded, Parma is most vulnerable from 61-75 minutes (40%), and Genoa from 76-90 minutes (60%). Overall, the totals and goal frequencies suggest a cautious game with limited chances. Under 2.5 goals at 1.59 looks like a logical choice, given Parma's under-profile, low scoring, and Genoa's lack of a strong over-profile.

Corner Betting

On average over five matches, Parma gets 3.4 corners, and Genoa 2.4. The frequency of over 9.5 total corners for both teams is 2 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (5.8) is 7.5: over 7.5 corners is at 1.37, under 7.5 at 2.83. There's also a line at 8.5: over 8.5 - 1.66, under 8.5 - 2.14. For corner outcomes, Parma is favored with odds of 1.90. Given the low averages and infrequent high totals, a bet on under 9.5 total corners seems justified. A bet on Parma to win on corners is also worth considering, given the difference in averages.