Prediction for match Pau — Amiens

Match Analysis: Pau vs Amiens

On December 12, in the French Ligue 2, Pau will face Amiens. Pau is the favorite with odds of 1.49 for a win, 4.25 for a draw, and 6.21 for an Amiens victory. The probabilities are: Pau - 62.87%, draw - 22.04%, Amiens - 15.09%. This setup confirms Pau's status as the stronger team at the moment. Tournament points and motivation aren't considered in this prediction, focusing solely on statistics and odds.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Pau has an average ball possession of 51.8%, receives 3.2 yellow cards, commits 14.2 fouls, and is caught offside 0.6 times per game. Amiens trails with 43.8% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Recent matches for Pau: December 6, 2025 - Montpellier vs Pau - 0-1, November 21, 2025 - Pau vs Le Mans - 1-2, November 8, 2025 - Guingamp vs Pau - 2-2. For Amiens: December 5, 2025 - Le Mans vs Amiens - 1-0, November 22, 2025 - Amiens vs Guingamp - 1-2, November 7, 2025 - Clermont Foot vs Amiens - 2-1. In their last head-to-head on May 2, 2025, Amiens beat Pau 4-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams are similar in terms of average goals scored: 3.2 goals per game over the last five matches, with each scoring 1 and conceding 2.2 on average. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 matches for Pau and 4 out of 5 for Amiens. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 3 times for Pau and 2 times for Amiens, while in the second half, it happened once for Pau and 3 times for Amiens. Pau often scores in the 0-15 minute interval (40%), while Amiens scores in the 46-60 and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each). Pau concedes most frequently between 16-30 and 31-45 minutes (33% each), and Amiens from 16 to 30 minutes (38%). This profile suggests a tendency for high-scoring matches, especially considering that over 2.5 goals have been scored 7 times in their last 10 games combined. A bet on over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.69 seems logical for this match.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Pau averages 5.2 corners per match, and Amiens 4.4, totaling 9.6. For over 9.5 corners, Pau has had 2 out of 5, and Amiens 3 out of 5. The line closest to the average is 9.5 corners: over 9.5 is at 1.78, under 9.5 at 1.91. Pau is favored to win the corner count with odds of 1.11. Expect around 9-10 corners with Pau having a slight edge. A bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified given the teams' averages and recent match trends.