Prediction for match Zwolle — Fortuna Sittard

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On December 13, in the Eredivisie, Zwolle will face Fortuna Sittard. The odds for a Zwolle victory are 2.41, for Fortuna Sittard's success - 2.85, and a draw is priced at 3.62. According to the probabilities, which are 39.82% for a Zwolle win, 33.67% for Fortuna Sittard, and 26.51% for a draw, the match is expected to be quite tense. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.73, and both teams to score: yes - 1.56, reflecting expectations of high scoring in this encounter.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Zwolle played as follows: on December 6, they lost to Feyenoord 1-6, on December 3, they were defeated by AZ Alkmaar 1-3, and on November 28, they beat Heerenveen 2-1. Fortuna Sittard recorded the following results in the same period: on December 6, they lost to Ajax 1-3, on November 29, they drew with Heracles 1-1, and on November 22, they also drew with Sparta Rotterdam 1-1. In their last head-to-head meeting on January 26, 2025, Fortuna Sittard lost to Zwolle 1-4. In additional metrics, Zwolle averaged 40.4% possession over five games, committed 10.4 fouls, were caught offside 3 times, and received 2 yellow cards. Fortuna Sittard averaged 41.4% possession, 13.8 fouls, 1.8 offsides, and 2.6 yellow cards.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Zwolle's average total goals are 3.8, and Fortuna Sittard's are 3.4, indicating high scoring in their games. Zwolle scores an average of 1.4 goals, the same as Fortuna Sittard, but Zwolle concedes 2.4, and Fortuna Sittard - 2. Regarding total frequencies, Zwolle had 4 out of 5 matches go over 2.5, while Fortuna Sittard had 2 out of 5. In the first half, Zwolle had 3 out of 5 games with more than 1.5 goals, while Fortuna Sittard had 2 out of 5. In the second half, both teams had 3 matches with over 1.5 goals out of 5. Looking at goal intervals, Zwolle most often scores between 31-45 minutes (50%), and concedes most frequently at the end (76-90 minutes, 43%). Fortuna Sittard scores most often between 16-30 minutes (30%), and concedes in the 46-60 minute interval (57%). Considering these stats, a bet on both teams to score: yes at 1.56 seems justified - both teams score regularly, and neither defense is particularly reliable. Additionally, the fact that the over 2.5 goals total occurred in 4 out of 5 for Zwolle and both teams to score is priced at 1.56 supports this.

Corner Bets

In their last five matches, Zwolle averaged 2.4 corners per game, and Fortuna Sittard - 5.6. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners, both teams had 3 out of 5 matches surpassing this mark. When considering the total corners, for the 9.5 line, there are both options: over 9.5 is priced at 1.83, under 9.5 - at 1.92. Regarding the corner outcome, Zwolle is the favorite with odds of 1.80. On average, the match between these teams should be quite active in terms of corners, especially considering Fortuna Sittard's high average. It's logical to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, given the frequency and recent performances of both teams.