Prediction for match Petrolul Ploiesti — Farul Constanta

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In the Liga I match between Petrolul Ploiesti and Farul Constanta, scheduled for January 25, 2026, the odds for a win are fairly even: 2.62 for Petrolul Ploiesti, 2.75 for Farul Constanta, with a draw at 2.99. The 1X2 probabilities are 35.35% for a Petrolul Ploiesti win, 33.68% for Farul Constanta, and 30.97% for a draw. This reflects a balanced matchup with no clear favorite. For total goals markets: over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.23, under 2.5 at 1.62, both teams to score: yes at 1.87, no at 1.83. These odds suggest bookmakers are not expecting a high-scoring game, with a similar probability for both teams to score.

Team Results and Statistics

Petrolul Ploiesti averages 47.6% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game over their last five matches. Farul Constanta shows slightly better stats: 57% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In Petrolul Ploiesti's last three games: January 19, 2026 - Petrolul Ploiesti vs Universitatea Craiova - 0-4, December 21, 2025 - Hermannstadt vs Petrolul Ploiesti - 1-1, December 14, 2025 - Petrolul Ploiesti vs Universitatea Cluj - 0-1. For Farul Constanta: January 17, 2026 - Farul Constanta vs Hermannstadt - 1-1, December 21, 2025 - Universitatea Cluj vs Farul Constanta - 1-0, December 15, 2025 - Farul Constanta vs UTA Arad - 1-1. The last head-to-head match was on September 1, 2025: Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti - 2-1.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

Over five matches, Petrolul Ploiesti has an average total of 2.6 goals, scoring 1 goal per game and conceding 1.6. Farul Constanta averages a total of 2.2, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4. For over 2.5 goals, both teams have 2 out of 5 matches over, 3 out of 5 under. By halves, Petrolul Ploiesti has 1 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in the second half. Farul Constanta has 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, 1 out of 5 in the second. In terms of goal intervals, Petrolul Ploiesti most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (50%), and concedes between 16-30 minutes (43%). Farul Constanta most often scores between 16-30 minutes (50%), and concedes evenly across five 15-minute intervals at 20% each. Given the low-scoring nature and frequent unders on the 2.5 total, a bet on under 2.5 at 1.62 seems most logical.

Corners in the Match

Petrolul Ploiesti averages 3.4 corners per game, Farul Constanta 6. For over 9.5 corners, Petrolul Ploiesti has 1 out of 5 matches over, Farul Constanta 2 out of 5. The line closest to their combined average (3.4 + 6 = 9.4) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 1.99, under 9.5 at 1.73. Farul Constanta is favored for corners with odds of 2.06. Considering Farul Constanta consistently delivers more corners, a bet on their individual corner total seems justified, with the overall total close to 9-10 per match.