Prediction for match Pisa — Cagliari

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Serie A, Pisa will face Cagliari on March 15. According to the 1X2 odds, Pisa's win is priced at 2.64, a draw at 3.11, and Cagliari's win at 3.17. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Pisa - 37.29%, draw - 31.65%, Cagliari - 31.06%. The balance of power according to the odds is quite even, with Pisa having a slight edge in probability. However, neither team stands out as a clear favorite, which is also reflected in the odds distribution. This review does not consider the league table or motivation, focusing solely on numbers and current form.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Pisa has an average ball possession of 39.6%, yellow cards - 1.8, fouls - 14.2, offsides - 1.8. Cagliari has higher possession at 47%, yellow cards - 2.8, fouls - 13.4, offsides - 2.2. Pisa's last three matches: March 7, 2026, Juventus vs Pisa 4-0, March 2, 2026, Pisa vs Bologna 0-1, February 23, 2026, Fiorentina vs Pisa 1-0. Cagliari's last three games: March 7, 2026, Cagliari vs Como 1-2, February 27, 2026, Parma vs Cagliari 1-1, February 21, 2026, Cagliari vs Lazio 0-0. In their head-to-head on December 21, 2025, Cagliari and Pisa drew 2-2. In the last five matches, Pisa's average yellow card count is lower than Cagliari's, and both teams are roughly on par in terms of fouls. Pisa hasn't won in their last five matches, and Cagliari also lacks consistent results, as evidenced by their recent draws and minimally productive games. On average, Pisa receives slightly fewer cards than Cagliari but has less ball possession.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have shown low scoring in terms of total goals. In Pisa's last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals occurred twice, under three times. For Cagliari, the total over 2.5 was recorded only once, under four times. The average number of goals in matches for both teams over five games is 1.8. Pisa scores an average of 0.2 goals per game and concedes 1.6. Cagliari scores 0.4 and concedes 1.4. In terms of halves, neither team has had more than 1.5 goals in the first half in the last five matches. In the second half, Pisa had 2 of 5 over 1.5, and Cagliari 3 of 5. Pisa most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (50%) and concedes most often in the final 76-90 minutes (50%). Cagliari's goals are evenly distributed across four intervals, with conceded goals notably in the 61-75 and 76-90 minute periods (40% each). All this points to low scoring and cautious play from both teams, with a focus on defense. The most logical bet seems to be on under 2.5 goals at 1.58, as both teams rarely score, and their matches average less than two goals. The frequency of under 2.5 totals and average goals per game also support this low-scoring option.

Analysis of Total Corners

Pisa averages 4.2 corners per match, and Cagliari 3.4. In the last five matches, Pisa had over 9.5 corners twice, and Cagliari once. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the sum of both teams' averages (4.2 + 3.4 = 7.6) is 7.5. For this, there are a couple of outcomes: over 7.5 corners is priced at 1.39, under 7.5 at 2.78. Pisa is the favorite on corners with odds of 1.70. Statistically, neither team shows high activity in corner kicks, so a bet on over 7.5 corners seems justified, but a high number of corners shouldn't be expected. Overall, the match doesn't promise to be rich in corners, and a moderate total bet on this indicator looks most logical.