Prediction for match Pisa — Parma

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Italy's Serie A on December 8, 2025, Pisa will face Parma. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Pisa is priced at 2.53, a draw at 3.09, and a win for Parma at 3.38. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Pisa - 38.95%, Draw - 31.89%, Parma - 29.16%. Although Pisa appears slightly favored by the odds, the gap between the teams is minimal, and the likelihood of a draw is quite high. Bookmakers' expectations suggest that the match could be closely contested, with a slight edge for Pisa.

Team Statistics and Results

Looking at ball possession, Pisa averages 38% over 5 matches, while Parma averages 39.6%. Both teams record an average of 2 yellow cards per game, with Pisa committing 11.6 fouls and Parma 11.2. Pisa averages 1.8 offsides, and Parma 1.6. In their last three matches, Pisa played as follows: November 30 - Pisa vs Inter 0-2, November 24 - Sassuolo vs Pisa 2-2, November 7 - Pisa vs Cremonese 1-0. Parma's last three games: December 4 - Bologna vs Parma 2-1, November 29 - Parma vs Udinese 0-2, November 23 - Verona vs Parma 1-2. The last head-to-head match was on February 17, 2024: Parma vs Pisa 3-2.

Teams' Scoring Streaks

In a five-match series, Pisa shows an average total of 2.2 goals, Parma 3.2. Pisa scores an average of 1 goal per game, Parma 1.2, with Pisa conceding 1.2 and Parma 2. In their last five matches, Pisa had over 2.5 goals twice, under 2.5 three times, while Parma had over 2.5 goals four times and under 2.5 once. In the first half, Pisa had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, Parma in 3 out of 5. In the second half, both teams had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches. Regarding goal intervals, Pisa most often scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (40%) and concedes in the first 15 minutes and at the end (33% each). Parma scores most frequently between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (33% each) and concedes mostly in the first half-hour (30%). Given these stats, a bet on over 1.5 goals at 1.50 seems logical: both teams tend to score, Parma often participates in high-scoring matches, and Pisa consistently scores and concedes. Additionally, both teams regularly find the net in the first half, supporting the choice of a goal total bet.

Betting on Corners

Pisa and Parma average 3 corners each over five matches. In the last five games, Pisa had over 9.5 corners once, Parma twice. Considering the corner total odds, the line closest to the average sum is 6 (3+3), but there is a pair for a total of 8.5: over 8.5 - 1.70, under 8.5 - 1.34. There is also a line for a total of 9: over 9 - 1.90, under 9 - 1.84. Pisa is the favorite in the corner outcome with odds of 1.97. Statistically, neither team stands out for a high number of corners, so a bet on a low corner total seems justified, especially considering the averages and frequency of outcomes.