Prediction for match Pogon Szczecin — Jagiellonia, 09.11.2025

Match Analysis: Pogon Szczecin vs Jagiellonia

On November 9, an Ekstraklasa match will take place between Pogon Szczecin and Jagiellonia. The odds for the outcome are as follows: a victory for Pogon Szczecin is at 2.30, a win for Jagiellonia is at 2.62, and a draw is offered at 3.90. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Pogon Szczecin 40.53%, Jagiellonia 35.58%, draw 23.90%. There is no clear favorite, but Pogon Szczecin has a slight edge in percentage.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Pogon Szczecin has an average ball possession of 50%, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 11 fouls, and has 2.4 offsides per game. Jagiellonia, over the same period, shows 56.6% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Pogon Szczecin's last three games: 03.11.2025 Wisla Plock - Pogon Szczecin 2-0, 25.10.2025 Pogon Szczecin - Cracovia 2-1, 19.10.2025 Lech Poznan - Pogon Szczecin 2-2. Jagiellonia's recent matches: 06.11.2025 Shkendija - Jagiellonia 1-1, 02.11.2025 Jagiellonia - Rakow 1-2, 26.10.2025 Gornik Zabrze - Jagiellonia 2-1. In their last head-to-head on 24.05.2025, Jagiellonia and Pogon Szczecin drew 1-1, with the total under 2.5.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have played over 2.5 goals in three of their last five matches and under in two. By halves, Pogon Szczecin had over 1.5 goals once in the first half and twice in the second, while Jagiellonia had the same: once in the first half, four times in the second. Average figures over 5 matches: Pogon Szczecin - 2.6 goals per game, scoring 1.2, conceding 1.4; Jagiellonia - 2.8 goals, scoring 1.6, conceding 1.2. Both teams most frequently score between the 76th and 90th minutes (33%). Pogon Szczecin concedes more often in each of the four intervals: 0-15, 16-30, 31-45, 76-90 (25% each), Jagiellonia - 40% between the 46th and 60th minutes. Considering both teams have an average scoring rate close to 3 goals, over 2.5 goals seems justified. Also, both clubs regularly score and concede in the second half, which increases the likelihood of this bet.

Corner Totals Analysis

Over 5 matches, Pogon Szczecin averages 5.4 corners, Jagiellonia 3.2. Pogon Szczecin has exceeded 9.5 corners three times, Jagiellonia not once in the same period. For the match line: over 10.5 corners is at 2.00, under 10.5 at 1.80. For the corner outcome, Pogon Szczecin is the favorite with odds of 1.80. Based on the statistics, it makes more sense to consider Pogon Szczecin's individual corner total, but the overall total over 10.5 seems risky due to Jagiellonia's low activity in this component.