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Prediction for match Pogon Szczecin — Korona Kielce

Match prediction Pogon Szczecin — Korona Kielce, Ekstraklasa, 16.03.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Ekstraklasa on March 16, Pogon Szczecin will face Korona Kielce. The odds for a Pogon Szczecin win are 1.98, a draw is at 3.54, and a Korona Kielce victory is at 3.50. According to the probability percentages, Pogon Szczecin has a 47.06% chance of winning, a draw is at 26.32%, and Korona Kielce is at 26.62%. The betting line also offers odds on total goals, both teams to score, individual performances, and double chance, allowing for an optimal betting selection for this match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Pogon Szczecin averaged 48.4% possession, received 3.4 yellow cards, committed 13.2 fouls, and had 1.2 offsides per game. Korona Kielce's stats are: 46.4% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 15.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Pogon Szczecin's last three results: March 8, 2026 - Rakow 2-0 Pogon Szczecin, February 28, 2026 - Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Widzew Lodz, February 21, 2026 - Gornik Zabrze 0-1 Pogon Szczecin. Korona Kielce's recent results: March 7, 2026 - Korona Kielce 2-1 Nieciecza, February 28, 2026 - Motor Lublin 2-0 Korona Kielce, February 22, 2026 - Korona Kielce 1-2 Lech Poznan. The last head-to-head was on September 13, 2025: Korona Kielce 1-0 Pogon Szczecin.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Pogon Szczecin has an average total of 1.4 goals per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.6. Korona Kielce is more prolific with an average of 2.6 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4. For over 2.5 goals: Pogon Szczecin had none over 2.5 goals (0 out of 5), while Korona Kielce had 3 out of 5 over. By halves, Pogon Szczecin had no over 1.5 goals in either half (0 out of 5 in both), while Korona Kielce had 3 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, and 2 out of 5 in the second. Pogon Szczecin scores mostly in the first 15 minutes (40%) and concedes late (76-90 minutes - 100%). Korona Kielce scores most between 16-30, 31-45, and 46-60 minutes (33% each), and concedes between 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (29% each). This profile suggests Pogon Szczecin plays very cautiously, rarely involved in high-scoring matches, while Korona Kielce tends to play more openly. However, Pogon Szczecin's low scoring and defensive reliability over their last five matches make a bet on under 2.5 goals optimal. The odds for Under 2.5 goals are 2.01.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Pogon Szczecin averages 4.4 corners per game, Korona Kielce 4.2. Over five matches, Pogon Szczecin had 2 out of 5 games over 9.5 corners, Korona Kielce had 3 out of 5. The total closest to the average (8.6) is the 8.5 line: over 8.5 corners is at 1.31, under 8.5 at 2.92. For corner outcomes, Pogon Szczecin is favored with odds of 1.72. Overall, both teams do not stand out with extreme corner stats, and a bet on total corners close to the average line seems logical. A cautious bet on over 8.5 corners can be considered, given the frequency and average values of both teams.

Sportwars.net Prediction for Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce, 16.03.2026 - Under 2.5 goals, odds 2.01. Correct score: 1:0, odds 8.00.
16.03.26
19:00
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
-
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce
-
Tip:
Under 2.5
Odds:
2.01
Author: Sportwars AI Model
The prediction is based on recent match statistics, head-to-head results, and the current form of the teams. The text and data have been verified by the website team.
14.03.26, 18:12
* statistical data are taken from the match page section Teams stats comparison

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