Prediction for match Pogon Szczecin — Wisla Plock

Match Analysis: Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock

The Polish Ekstraklasa continues to deliver intriguing matchups, and on May 3rd, we have Pogon Szczecin taking on Wisla Plock. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: a victory for Pogon Szczecin is priced at 1.90, a draw at 3.60, and a win for Wisla Plock at 3.72. Looking at the 1X2 probabilities, Pogon Szczecin has a 49.05% chance, a draw is at 25.89%, and Wisla Plock stands at 25.05%. Thus, bookmakers favor Pogon Szczecin as the likely winner, but Wisla Plock is not seen as a clear underdog by percentages.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Pogon Szczecin recorded the following results: on April 25, Cracovia 1-1 Pogon Szczecin, on April 18, Pogon Szczecin 1-2 Lech Poznan, on April 13, Piast Gliwice 0-2 Pogon Szczecin. They also faced Legia Warsaw on April 6, losing 0-2, and on March 21, Lechia Gdansk 2-1 Pogon Szczecin. During the same period, Wisla Plock played as follows: on April 26, Wisla Plock 0-1 Radomiak Radom, on April 19, Nieciecza 1-3 Wisla Plock, on April 10, Wisla Plock 1-0 Lechia Gdansk, on April 4, GKS Katowice 1-0 Wisla Plock, and on March 21, Jagiellonia 1-2 Wisla Plock. In their last head-to-head on November 3, 2025, Wisla Plock defeated Pogon Szczecin 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Based on the average scoring in the last five matches, Pogon Szczecin sees 2.4 goals per game, while Wisla Plock averages 2.0. Pogon Szczecin scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 1.4, whereas Wisla Plock scores 1.2 and concedes 0.8. For over 2.5 goals, both teams have 2 out of 5 matches, and for under, 3 out of 5. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals occurred 2 out of 5 times for both teams, and in the second half, this figure is 1 out of 5. The most frequent scoring interval for both teams is 76-90 minutes, at 50%. Goals conceded mainly occur in the 31-45 minute interval, also at 50% for both teams. This profile suggests a restrained pace and lack of an overt goal-scoring profile, especially in the second half. The overall scoring leans towards the low side, with the frequency of over 2.5 goals not exceeding 2 out of 5. Considering the goals scored and conceded, and the fact that neither team shows high scoring prowess, it makes sense to consider a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.93.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

The average number of corners for both teams in the last five matches is the same - 3.8. The frequency of over 9.5 corners occurred 3 out of 5 times for both teams. Looking at the odds, the total over 9.5 corners is at 1.55, while under 9.5 is at 2.20. Pogon Szczecin is favored in the corner market with odds of 1.49. Given the average activity in corners and the frequency of the over 9.5 total, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, although an under 9.5 option also has its logic in a cautious game.