Prediction for match Portsmouth — Swansea

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the English Championship on 10.03.2026, Portsmouth faces Swansea City. The 1X2 odds are: Portsmouth win at 2.12, draw at 3.38, and Swansea City win at 3.34. In terms of probability percentages, Portsmouth is at 44.21%, Swansea City at 28.06%, and a draw at 27.73%. Portsmouth appears to be the slight favorite, but Swansea City is not far behind. For over 2.5 goals, the odds are 2.18, and for under 2.5 goals, it's 1.66. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.88, no at 1.82. The double chance odds are 1X at 1.30, X2 at 1.68, and 12 at 1.29. For individual team totals: Portsmouth over 1 goal is at 1.52, Swansea City over 1 goal is at 2.04. Overall, the odds reflect a moderate advantage for Portsmouth but do not rule out a close contest.

Team Results and Statistics

Portsmouth, over their last five matches, averages 57% possession, receives 1 yellow card, commits 7.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Swansea City, in the same metrics, averages 59.6% possession, 1.6 yellows, 10 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last three matches, Portsmouth played as follows: 07.03.2026 - Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Portsmouth, 28.02.2026 - Portsmouth 0-1 Hull City, 24.02.2026 - Wrexham 2-1 Portsmouth. Swansea City: 07.03.2026 - Swansea City 2-0 Stoke City, 28.02.2026 - Ipswich Town 3-0 Swansea City, 24.02.2026 - Swansea City 1-1 Preston North End. Their last head-to-head was on 09.12.2025: Swansea City 1-0 Portsmouth. In their last five matches, Portsmouth has earned more points, but Swansea City shows stability in ball control and discipline. Swansea City plays more aggressively in terms of fouls, while both teams maintain a high possession percentage.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Portsmouth, in their last five matches, shows an average total of 2.8 goals, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2 per game. Swansea City, in the same period, averages 2 goals per match, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2. For over 2.5 goals, Portsmouth has 3 out of 5, while Swansea City has only 1 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half: Portsmouth has 2 out of 5, Swansea City 1 out of 5. For the second half over 1.5: Portsmouth has 3 out of 5, Swansea City 2 out of 5. In terms of goal timing: Portsmouth most often scores between 61-75 minutes (40%), and concedes between 46-60 (44%). Swansea City scores most frequently between 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (22% each), and concedes between 16-30 (100%). The attacking profile of Portsmouth and their frequent over 2.5 goals, combined with Swansea City's relatively weak defense, which concedes an average of 1.2 per game, supports the over 2.0 total at 1.59. Swansea City scores little, but Portsmouth consistently creates chances and can drive the total. The combined statistics of both teams and the 1.59 odds for over 2.0 make this the main prediction.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Portsmouth averages 7.4 corners per match, Swansea City 4.2. In the last five games, Portsmouth has had 3 out of 5 on over 9.5 corners, Swansea City 2 out of 5. The corner total line closest to the average sum (11.6) is 11.5: over 11.5 is at 2.76, under 11.5 at 1.36. Also close is the total of 11: over 11 is at 2.49, under 11 at 1.45. In terms of corner outcomes, Portsmouth is the favorite at 1.49. In this match, it makes sense to consider betting on over 11.5 corners, given Portsmouth's high averages and Swansea City's consistent delivery. Also, pay attention to individual corner totals for Portsmouth, which consistently exceeds 7 per match.