Prediction for match PSV Eindhoven — Excelsior, 10.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On January 10th, in the Dutch Eredivisie, PSV Eindhoven will face Excelsior. The odds for a PSV victory are set at 1.14, a draw is at 9.45, and an Excelsior win is at 17.00. The probability distribution is as follows: PSV 84.20%, draw 10.16%, Excelsior 5.65%. This breakdown highlights PSV's clear advantage in this matchup, as reflected in both the odds and recent match statistics. The betting line also includes options for totals, both teams to score, and individual team performances, allowing for a variety of betting styles.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, PSV has shown a high ball possession rate of 63.2%, averaging 2.2 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Excelsior, over the same period, has an average possession of 43.6%, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 14.4 fouls, and records 1.2 offsides. In their last three matches, PSV defeated Utrecht 2-1 (21.12.2025), crushed GVVV Veenendaal 3-0 (16.12.2025), and had a high-scoring match against Heracles 4-3 (13.12.2025). Excelsior, in their last three games, won against Zwolle 2-1 (20.12.2025), lost to Groningen 0-2 (05.12.2025), and defeated NAC Breda 1-0 (29.11.2025). In their head-to-head on September 27, 2025, PSV was stronger than Excelsior with a 2-1 victory.

Team Scoring Streaks

PSV has been playing high-scoring football in their last five matches: the total over 2.5 hit four times, and under only once. Excelsior had 3 out of 5 games end with a total over 2.5. On average, PSV's matches feature 4 goals per game, with the team scoring 2.6 and conceding 1.4. For Excelsior, the average total goals are 2.4, scoring 1.2 and conceding the same. By halves, PSV had 4 out of 5 matches with a total over 1.5 in the first half, and 3 out of 5 games were high-scoring in the second half. Excelsior had no first-half totals over 1.5, but 4 out of 5 second halves were high-scoring. In terms of intervals, PSV most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (30%), while Excelsior scores between the 16th and 30th minute (33%). Both teams most often concede between the 46th and 60th minute: PSV 40%, Excelsior 43%. This data suggests a high probability of a high-scoring match, yet the line for a total over 3.5 is at 1.64, and under 4.5 is at 1.58. Considering PSV's average scoring and Excelsior's not-so-high conceding rate, a bet on under 4.5 goals seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

PSV averages 7.4 corners per match, while Excelsior averages 3.4. In their last five matches, PSV's total over 9.5 corners hit four times, and Excelsior's hit three times. Among available corner totals, the 10.5 line is closest to the average sum (10.8): the odds for over 10.5 corners are 1.92, and under 10.5 is 1.96. PSV is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.12. Expect active wing play from PSV, increasing the chances for over 10.5 corners, but a bet on under 11.5 corners at 1.45 might appeal to more cautious strategies.