Prediction for match Puebla — Necaxa

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Liga MX on March 14, Puebla will face Necaxa. According to the 1X2 odds, a victory for Puebla is priced at 2.13, Necaxa at 3.17, and a draw at 3.46. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Puebla - 43.72%, draw - 26.91%, Necaxa - 29.37%. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.86, and for under 2.5 goals - 1.89. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.68, no - 2.06. For individual totals: Puebla over 1.5 goals - 2.08, Necaxa over 1.5 goals - 2.73. The double chance odds are 1X at 1.32, X2 at 1.66, and 12 at 1.27. These odds reflect a moderate advantage for Puebla, but Necaxa is not a clear underdog.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Puebla has an average possession of 42.8%, with 2 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Necaxa controls the ball slightly more at 49.2%, with 2.6 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In Puebla's last three matches: March 8, 2026 - Pachuca vs Puebla - 2-1, March 5, 2026 - Puebla vs Tigres UANL - 3-1, February 28, 2026 - Atletico San Luis vs Puebla - 0-1. For Necaxa: March 7, 2026 - Necaxa vs UNAM Pumas - 0-1, March 4, 2026 - Pachuca vs Necaxa - 2-1, March 1, 2026 - Leon vs Necaxa - 2-1. The last head-to-head took place on September 20, 2025: Necaxa vs Puebla - 1-0.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Puebla vs Necaxa

Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring matches in their last five games: Puebla had 4 out of 5 matches with over 2.5 goals, and Necaxa also had 4 out of 5. The average number of goals in Puebla's matches is 3.4, while Necaxa's is 2.6. Puebla scores 1.4 and concedes 2 goals per game, while Necaxa scores 0.8 and concedes 1.8. By halves, Puebla had 4 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the second half, but only 1 out of 5 in the first half. Necaxa had 2 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals in both halves. Goal intervals: Puebla most frequently scores between 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (29% each), and concedes most often in the final minutes (76-90 minutes - 50%). Necaxa scores most frequently between 31-45 minutes (40%), and concedes also in the final minutes (76-90 minutes - 63%). This statistics confirm that both teams tend to be more active in the second half, and the overall goal profile supports a bet on over 2.5 goals.

Betting on Corners

Puebla averages 3.6 corners per match, while Necaxa averages 5. For over 9.5 corners: Puebla had only 1 out of 5 matches go over, while Necaxa had 5 out of 5. The line closest to the sum of the averages (8.6) is 8.5. The odds for over 8.5 corners are 1.39, under 8.5 - 2.63. Puebla is the favorite on corner outcomes with odds of 1.76. Considering Necaxa consistently reaches high corner numbers, betting on over 8.5 corners is a viable option for this match.