Prediction for match Radnik Surdulica — Napredak

Match Analysis: Radnik Surdulica vs Napredak

In the upcoming Serbian Super Liga clash between Radnik Surdulica and Napredak, bookmakers are showing a clear preference for Radnik Surdulica: odds for their victory are 1.51, a draw is at 3.50, and a win for Napredak is priced at 6.62. The probability distribution is as follows: Radnik Surdulica 60.26%, draw 26%, Napredak 13.74%. These figures highlight Radnik Surdulica's significant advantage, but recent match statistics for both teams suggest the encounter might be a tight affair with a focus on defensive reliability. The goal totals are offered at various levels, allowing for an optimal prediction choice.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at additional metrics, Radnik Surdulica holds 48.4% possession on average over their last five matches, with 2.2 yellow cards, 17.4 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Napredak, on the other hand, has a higher possession average at 59.6%, but receives 4 yellow cards, commits 14.8 fouls, and is caught offside once per game. In their last three matches, Radnik Surdulica played as follows: 15.02.2026 Radnički 1923 - Radnik Surdulica 0-0, 07.02.2026 Radnik Surdulica - Partizan 2-3, 31.01.2026 Železničar Pančevo - Radnik Surdulica 1-0. For Napredak: 14.02.2026 Napredak - Radnički Niš 2-4, 08.02.2026 IMT Novi Beograd - Napredak 2-0, 31.01.2026 Napredak - Javor 1-2. The last head-to-head meeting was on 19.09.2025: Napredak - Radnik Surdulica 1-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Radnik Surdulica has an average total of 1.8 goals, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1 goal per game. Napredak's average total is noticeably higher at 3.4, with 1 goal scored and 2.4 conceded. As for over 2.5 goals: only 1 out of 5 matches for Radnik Surdulica was high-scoring, while Napredak had 3 out of 5. In the first half, Radnik Surdulica saw more than 1.5 goals only once out of 5, while Napredak had this occur 3 times. In the second half, Radnik Surdulica had no matches with over 1.5 goals, whereas Napredak had 3 out of 5. Radnik Surdulica tends to score late (76-90 minutes, 40%) and concedes evenly across the first half and late (25% each). Napredak most frequently scores between 31 and 45 minutes (33%) and concedes between 16 and 30 minutes (33%). Given Radnik Surdulica's low scoring and Napredak's less reliable defense, considering under 2.5 goals at 1.62 fits well with both teams' current metrics.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Radnik Surdulica averages 5.6 corners per match, while Napredak averages 2.4. In their last five matches, the total corners exceeded 9.5 in 2 out of 5 games for both teams. Looking at the line, for a total of 8.5, both options are available: over 8.5 is at 1.82, under 8.5 at 1.88. Radnik Surdulica is favored to win on corners at 1.22. Based on recent game dynamics, it's logical to expect Radnik Surdulica to take more corners, with the total corners likely in the 8-9 range, reflecting both teams' average activity in this aspect. It's also worth noting that Napredak generally earns fewer corners, which could impact the total number of corners in the match.