Prediction for match Real Madrid — Celta, 07.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

The La Liga match between Real Madrid and Celta is scheduled for December 7, 2025. According to the 1X2 odds, Real Madrid's victory is priced at 1.33, a draw at 5.89, and Celta's win at 10.60. The probability percentages are as follows: Real Madrid - 74.00%, draw - 16.71%, Celta - 9.29%. This distribution highlights a significant advantage in favor of Real Madrid, as confirmed by the bookmakers' line.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Real Madrid has maintained a high ball possession rate of 57.2%, averages 1 booking, commits 7.8 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Celta, over the same period, shows 52.2% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 16.4 fouls, and 2 offsides. In their last three matches, Real Madrid played as follows: December 3 - Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid 0-3, November 30 - Girona vs Real Madrid 1-1, November 26 - Olympiacos vs Real Madrid 3-4. During the same period, Celta played: December 4 - Sant Andreu vs Celta 7-8, November 30 - Celta vs Espanyol 0-1, November 27 - Ludogorets vs Celta 3-2. In their last head-to-head on May 4, 2025, Real Madrid and Celta played 3-2.

Teams' Scoring Streaks

Over the five-match span, Real Madrid averages 3.2 goals per game, scoring 2 and conceding 1.2. Celta averages 3 goals per match, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8. For over 2.5 goals: Real Madrid had 3 out of 5 matches, Celta - 2 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 for Real Madrid, and 1 out of 5 for Celta. Similarly, in the second halves: Real Madrid 2 out of 5, Celta 1 out of 5. Real Madrid most frequently scores between the 46-60 and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each), while Celta scores most often in the first 15 minutes (40%). In terms of goals conceded, Real Madrid is notable in the 16-30 minute interval (30%), while Celta is vulnerable in three intervals: 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (25% each). This profile of both teams regarding totals and average goals suggests an expectantly high-scoring game with a high probability of over 3.0 goals, offered at 1.52.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Real Madrid averages 6.6 corners per match, while Celta averages 4.8. Over the five-match series, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 3 times for Real Madrid and once for Celta. The odds for total corners: over 11.0 is priced at 2.31, under 11.0 at 1.57. Additionally, in the corner outcome line, Real Madrid is the favorite with odds of 1.10. Based on average values, a bet on total corners over 11.0 seems justified, but a more moderate option of under 11.0 at 1.57 is also reasonable, considering the frequency of occurrences and average figures of both teams.