Prediction for match Real Sociedad — Osasuna

Match Analysis: Real Sociedad vs Osasuna

On January 13, 2026, Real Sociedad will face Osasuna in the Copa del Rey. The odds for a Real Sociedad win are 2.03, a draw is at 3.34, and an Osasuna victory is at 4.18. The probabilities are: 47.77% for a Real Sociedad win, 29.03% for a draw, and 23.20% for an Osasuna win. Real Sociedad looks more favorable according to the odds, but a draw cannot be ruled out given the distribution of percentages.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Real Sociedad played as follows: January 9 - Getafe vs Real Sociedad - 1-2, January 4 - Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid - 1-1, December 20 - Levante vs Real Sociedad - 1-1. Osasuna's last three matches were: January 10 - Girona vs Osasuna - 1-0, January 3 - Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao - 1-1, December 20 - Osasuna vs Alavés - 3-0. On average, over their last five matches, Real Sociedad has 53% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 15.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Osasuna averages 46% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Their last head-to-head meeting was on November 22, 2025: Osasuna vs Real Sociedad - 1-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Real Sociedad has an average total of 2.6 goals per game in their last five matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2 per game. Osasuna has an average total of 2.8, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 matches for Real Sociedad, and in 2 out of 5 for Osasuna. In the first half, Real Sociedad did not have any matches go over 1.5 goals, while Osasuna had 1 out of 5. In the second half, Real Sociedad went over 1.5 goals 4 out of 5 times, Osasuna 2 out of 5. Real Sociedad most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (60%), while Osasuna scores most often in two intervals: 31-45 (38%) and 76-90 (38%). Real Sociedad also concedes most frequently in the final minutes (76-90, 63%), while Osasuna concedes most often in the 31-45 and 61-75 intervals (50% each). Considering the average scoring of both teams, frequent goals in the second half, and common late goals, a bet on over 2.25 goals at 1.97 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Real Sociedad averages 5.2 corners per game, while Osasuna averages 4.2. In their last five matches, Real Sociedad's total corners went over 9.5 twice, while Osasuna's did three times. The closest average total is 9.5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.10, and under 9.5 is 1.70. Based on this data, considering a bet on over 9.5 corners is logical, given that both teams are capable of creating chances and earning corners, especially in an active match finish.