Prediction for match Red Star — Rodez

Match Analysis: Red Star vs Rodez

In Ligue 1 France, Red Star will face Rodez on May 12th. According to the 1X2 odds, Red Star is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.82, a draw at 3.94, and a win for Rodez at 4.44. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Red Star - 53.42%, draw - 24.68%, Rodez - 21.90%. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.64, both teams to score - 1.58, and "no" - 2.26. Red Star's win by halftime is offered at 2.32, and a draw at 2.28. For individual totals: Red Star over 1.5 is at 1.69, Rodez over 1.5 is at 2.93. For double chance, 1X is at 1.23, X2 - 2.08, 12 - 1.28. There is no quote for over 9.5 corners, but average corner stats suggest considering totals around 8-9.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Red Star has an average possession of 47.6%, 1.2 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Rodez, in the same period, shows 42.6% possession, 1.2 yellows, 11.8 fouls, and 3.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Red Star played as follows: 09.05.2026 - Red Star vs Montpellier - 1-1, 02.05.2026 - Amiens vs Red Star - 1-3, 24.04.2026 - Red Star vs Guingamp - 3-2. Rodez's last three matches were: 09.05.2026 - Annecy vs Rodez - 1-2, 02.05.2026 - Rodez vs Saint-Étienne - 2-1, 24.04.2026 - Laval vs Rodez - 0-0. The last head-to-head match was on 30.01.2026: Rodez vs Red Star - 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five games, Red Star's matches went over 2.5 goals 4 times, and Rodez's also 4 times. For first-half goals, Red Star had 3 out of 5 over 1.5, and Rodez had 2 out of 5. In the second half, both teams recorded 3 out of 5 over 1.5. The average total goals for Red Star over 5 matches is 4.6, and for Rodez - 2.8. Red Star scores an average of 2.6 and concedes 2, while Rodez scores 1.8 and concedes 1. In terms of goal timing, Red Star most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (33%), and Rodez between 46-60 (38%). Red Star most often concedes late in the game (76-90, 36%), while Rodez concedes in the first 30 minutes (33% in two intervals). Both teams' profiles suggest a tendency for high-scoring matches: both have 4 out of 5 matches over 2.5 goals, with high averages for goals scored and conceded, as well as support by halves. Against this backdrop, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.64 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Red Star averages 3.8 corners over their last 5 matches, while Rodez averages 4.4. The frequency of matches going over 9.5 corners is 2 out of 5 for both teams. Based on the sum of average corners (8.2), the closest lines would be for 8.5 or 9.5 total corners. There is no market for 8.5 or 9.5 total corners, but statistically, neither team shows a strong over-profile for corners. A bet on total corners closer to 8-9 seems most justified, without a clear bias towards one side. Individually, Rodez is slightly more active in delivering corners, but the difference is negligible. Both teams average 1.2 yellow cards per game, and Rodez leads in offsides with 3.2 compared to Red Star's 2.4. This might add dynamism, but it doesn't affect the choice for total goals.