Prediction for match Brest — Strasbourg

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Ligue 1 on 13.05.2026, Brest will face Strasbourg. The odds for Brest to win are 2.83, for Strasbourg to succeed - 2.60, and a draw is priced at 3.60. Looking at the probability distribution, Brest has a 34.79% chance, Strasbourg 37.87%, and a draw 27.35%. The odds and probabilities suggest a slight advantage for Strasbourg, but the gap between the teams isn't overwhelming. This is reflected in the double chance odds: 1.49 for X2 and 1.56 for 1X. Bookmakers expect a closely contested match, with both teams having a shot at victory.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Brest has an average possession of 42.6%, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 11.2 fouls, and is caught offside 2.4 times per game. Strasbourg, over the same period, averages 55.8% possession, 2.2 cautions, 11.2 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last three matches, Brest lost to PSG 0-1 (10.05.2026), was defeated by Paris FC 0-4 (03.05.2026), and drew with Lens 3-3 (24.04.2026). Strasbourg, in their last three games, drew with Angers 1-1 (10.05.2026), lost to Rayo Vallecano 0-1 (07.05.2026), and was beaten by Toulouse 1-2 (03.05.2026). The last head-to-head was on 30.11.2025 - Strasbourg - Brest 1-2.

Goal Scoring Series

In the last five matches, Brest's average total goals are 4, while Strasbourg's are 2.4. Brest scores 1.4 goals per game, conceding 2.6, while Strasbourg scores 1 and concedes 1.4. Regarding over 2.5 goals: Brest has 3 out of 5, Strasbourg 2 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 3 times for Brest, once for Strasbourg. Similarly, in the second half: Brest 3 times, Strasbourg once. Brest most frequently scores in the 0-15 minute interval (33%), while Strasbourg scores between 16-30 and 46-60 minutes (33% each). Brest concedes most often between 61-75 minutes (38%), and Strasbourg at the end of both halves (31-45, 43% and 76-90, 43%). Considering Brest's higher average total goals and their over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.86 seems justified. Strasbourg also tends not to play low-scoring games, and Brest's matches regularly feature high scores. For these reasons, expecting at least three goals is logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Brest averages 1.6 corners per game, Strasbourg 4.4. For over 9.5 corners: Brest has 4 out of 5, Strasbourg 3 out of 5. Combining averages gives 6 corners total, but the frequency of higher totals is notable. The line highlights over 8.5 corners at 1.69 and under 8.5 at 2.04. You can also consider over 9.5 at 2.14 and under 9.5 at 1.60. For corner outcome, Strasbourg is favored at 1.98. Given the high frequency of over 9.5 corners, betting on the higher corner total seems justified, especially if both teams continue to be active on set pieces.