Prediction for match Rosario Central — Belgrano

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

In the Argentine Professional League match between Rosario Central and Belgrano, scheduled for January 25, 2026, bookmakers have Rosario Central as the favorite. The odds for a Rosario Central victory are 1.82, which translates to a 51.48% probability. A draw is priced at 3.20 (29.28%), while a win for Belgrano is at 4.87 (19.24%). This setup reflects Rosario Central's advantage in the odds, but the percentage difference isn't too large, indicating a potential for a competitive match. Meanwhile, the odds on total goals suggest low scoring is expected: under 2.5 goals is at 1.44, and over 2.5 goals at 2.45, highlighting a cautious approach from both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Rosario Central has maintained 58.2% ball possession, averaging 1.6 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Belgrano, over the same period, has 50% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last three encounters, Rosario Central lost to Estudiantes 0-1 (23.11.2025), fell to Independiente 0-1 (16.11.2025), and drew with San Lorenzo 0-0 (08.11.2025). Belgrano, in their last three games, drew 0-0 with Union Santa Fe (17.11.2025), lost to Argentinos Juniors 0-1 (11.11.2025), and had a 0-0 draw with Tigre (04.11.2025). In their last head-to-head on December 14, 2024, Rosario Central defeated Belgrano 2-1.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

Both teams have shown low scoring in their last five matches: Rosario Central averages 1.4 goals per game, Belgrano 1.2. Rosario Central scores 0.8 and concedes 0.6 per match, while Belgrano scores 0.6 and concedes 0.6. Regarding over 2.5 goals, only 1 out of 5 matches for each team has ended "over," with 4 "under." In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for Rosario Central and never for Belgrano. In the second half, Rosario Central had it once and Belgrano twice out of 5 matches. Rosario Central most frequently scores between the 16-30 and 31-45 minute marks (50% each), while Belgrano scores most between the 61-75 minute mark (67%). Rosario Central concedes most often between 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (40% each), while Belgrano concedes between 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (33% each). This statistics confirm a low-scoring trend: both teams score infrequently, rarely exceed over 2.5 goals, and show no significant scoring spikes in halves or intervals. The most logical bet appears to be under 2.5 goals at 1.44, although this odds is below the acceptable threshold. Alternatively, betting on both teams not to score at 1.57 is supported by the low scoring from both sides and frequent clean sheets.

Analysis of Total Corners

Over the last 5 matches, Rosario Central averages 3.2 corners, while Belgrano averages 5.2. In a series of five games, Rosario Central's total corners over 9.5 occurred once, while Belgrano's occurred four times. Among available corner totals, 8.5 is closest to the average sum (8.4): over 8.5 is at 1.67, under 8.5 at 2.07. For corner outcomes, Rosario Central is the favorite with odds of 1.48. Considering Belgrano consistently delivers more corners and Rosario Central fewer, it makes sense to consider the over 8.5 corners, especially if Belgrano continues their flank activity.