Prediction for match Saint Etienne — Bastia

Match Analysis: Saint Etienne vs Bastia

In Ligue 2, on December 13, 2025, Saint Etienne will face Bastia. The odds for a Saint Etienne victory are 1.68, a draw is at 3.72, and a Bastia win is valued at 4.94. The probability distribution for the outcomes is as follows: Saint Etienne - 55.81%, draw - 25.21%, Bastia - 18.98%. Saint Etienne is the favorite according to the odds and percentages, which is also supported by their recent match statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Saint Etienne has averaged 59.4% ball possession, received 1.6 yellow cards, committed 13.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. During the same period, Bastia has had 54% possession, received 3 yellow cards, committed 15.8 fouls, and 2 offsides per match. In their last three games, Saint Etienne lost to Dunkerque 0-1, defeated Nancy 2-1, and beat Troyes 3-2. Bastia lost to Laval 0-2, Annecy 0-1, and Reims 1-3. In their head-to-head on March 16, 2024, Bastia lost to Saint Etienne 0-4.

Goals by Match Statistics

Saint Etienne stands out in scoring: the average total goals in their last five games is 3.6, with the team scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.2 goals. Bastia's average total is 2, scoring only 0.4 and conceding 1.6. In the last 5 matches, Saint Etienne surpassed the total over 2.5 goals four times, while Bastia managed it only once. In the first half, Saint Etienne had 3 instances of over 1.5 goals, Bastia had 1. In the second half, Saint Etienne also had 3 instances of over 1.5 goals, Bastia had none. Regarding goal intervals, Saint Etienne scores and concedes most frequently between the 31st and 45th minutes (29% and 40%), while Bastia scores most often between the 16th and 30th and 76th and 90th minutes (40% each) and concedes most between the 16th and 30th minutes (40%). Considering Saint Etienne's high scoring rate and Bastia's low, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems justified, especially given Bastia's single occurrence of over 2.5 in 5 matches and their average total goals of 2.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Both teams are identical in average corners, with Saint Etienne and Bastia each delivering 3.2 per game over the last five matches. In the last 5 games, Saint Etienne had no instances of total corners over 9.5, while Bastia had 1. For a total corners bet, the line closest to the average sum (6.4) is over 7.5: over 7.5 is at 1.32, under 7.5 at 2.92. For corners outcome, Saint Etienne is favored with odds of 1.45. Based on this data, it makes sense to consider a bet on total corners over 7.5, as well as Saint Etienne's advantage in corners.