Prediction for match Sampdoria — Avellino

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

In Serie B on March 22, Sampdoria will face Avellino. The odds for Sampdoria to win are set at 1.90, a draw is at 3.38, and an Avellino victory is at 4.08. The probability distribution is as follows: Sampdoria - 49.31%, draw - 27.72%, Avellino - 22.96%. Among the goal totals, the line for over 2.25 is at 1.98 and under 2.5 is at 1.59, indicating moderate expectations for scoring. The option for both teams to score: yes is at 2.03, no - 1.70. For Sampdoria's individual total over 1.5, the odds are 2.15, while for Avellino, it's 3.40.

Team Results and Statistics

Sampdoria lost 0-2 to Carrarese (18.03), drew 0-0 with Venezia (14.03), and lost 0-3 to Frosinone (8.03) in their last three matches. Avellino, on the other hand, beat Südtirol 3-2 (18.03), defeated Virtus Entella 2-1 (15.03), and won against Padova 1-0 (7.03). In their head-to-head on January 10, Avellino was stronger with a 2-1 victory over Sampdoria. In secondary statistics, Sampdoria averages 49% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game over a five-match span. Avellino shows 46.8% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides in the same period.

Goal Scoring Streaks

In their last five matches, Sampdoria has scored an average of 0.2 goals per game, conceding 1.6, with a total match goal average of 1.8. Avellino's averages are higher: 1.2 goals scored, 1.4 conceded, and a total of 2.6 goals. For over 2.5 goals, Sampdoria has only 1 out of 5, while Avellino has 3 out of 5. In the first half, Sampdoria has not seen more than 1.5 goals in any of their last 5 matches, while Avellino has twice. In the second half, Sampdoria has played over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, Avellino in 1 out of 5. Sampdoria most frequently scores between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each), and concedes late (76th-90th minutes - 67%). Avellino most often scores in the 76th-90th minute interval (44%) and concedes between the 16th-30th minutes (50%). Considering Sampdoria's low scoring and Avellino's moderate figures, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.59 seems logical: Sampdoria has gone under 2.5 in 4 out of 5, Avellino in 2 out of 5, and the average totals for both teams do not exceed 2.6.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Sampdoria averages 4.6 corners per game, Avellino 4.2. For over 9.5 corners, Sampdoria has 4 out of 5, Avellino 1 out of 5. The nearest line for corner totals with two outcomes is 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.97, under 9.5 is at 1.73. Sampdoria is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.62. Given Sampdoria's frequent success, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially if Avellino plays defensively and cedes initiative. Individual corner totals for both teams can also be considered, given their average figures in recent matches.