Prediction for match Samsunspor — AEK Athens

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the UEFA Conference League on December 11, Samsunspor will face AEK Athens. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Samsunspor win is priced at 2.82, draw at 3.39, and AEK Athens win at 2.62. The probability distribution for the outcomes is: Samsunspor - 34.39%, draw - 28.60%, AEK Athens - 37.01%. There is no clear favorite in the odds, but the Greek team has a slight edge in terms of chances. Additional markets for totals and both teams to score also offer interesting options for analysis.

Team Results and Statistics

Samsunspor, in their last five matches, has an average ball possession of 51.4%, receives an average of 1.8 yellow cards, commits 17.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per match. AEK Athens holds the ball 57.2% of the time, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 16.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.2 times. In their last three games, Samsunspor played as follows: December 5 - Galatasaray vs Samsunspor - 3-2, December 1 - Samsunspor vs Alanyaspor - 1-1, November 27 - Breiðablik vs Samsunspor - 2-2. AEK Athens in their last three matches: December 7 - AEK Athens vs Atromitos - 4-1, November 30 - Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens - 2-3, November 27 - Fiorentina vs AEK Athens - 0-1. There have been no head-to-head meetings between these teams this season.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Samsunspor shows an average total of 2.8 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 per game. AEK Athens has an average total of 2.6, scoring 2 and conceding only 0.6 goals per match. Both teams have gone over 2.5 goals 2 out of 5 times and under 3 out of 5 times. In the first half, Samsunspor went over 1.5 goals 2 out of 5 times, AEK Athens - 1 time. In the second half, Samsunspor has 3 overs on 1.5, AEK Athens - 2. Samsunspor most frequently scores between 0-15 minutes (38%), while AEK Athens scores between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (38% each). Samsunspor is most vulnerable to conceding between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), AEK Athens - between 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (33% each). The balance in totals and the high scoring potential of both teams, especially AEK Athens in attack, make the bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.01 a logical choice for this match.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In the last 5 games, Samsunspor averages 6 corners, while AEK Athens averages 5.2. In a series of 5 matches, both teams have gone over 9.5 corners 2 times and under 3 times. The closest line in the corner totals market is over 9.5 at 2.15 and under 9.5 at 1.58. In the corner outcome, AEK Athens is the favorite with odds of 1.95. Considering both teams consistently deliver 5-6 corners per game, betting on over 9.5 corners looks justified for those who prefer to play on set-piece statistics. However, it should be noted that neither team shows extreme values for corners, making a total around 9.5 the most reasonable choice.