Prediction for match Samsunspor — Bodrumspor

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

On February 3, 2026, Samsunspor will face Bodrumspor in the Turkish Cup. According to the 1X2 odds, Samsunspor is favored at 1.37, a draw is priced at 4.50, and Bodrumspor's win is at 8.10. The probabilities for a Samsunspor victory are 67.86%, a draw is 20.66%, and a Bodrumspor win is 11.48%. These figures clearly favor Samsunspor, but the odds on totals and additional markets offer more room for analysis.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Samsunspor averaged 54.8% ball possession, recorded 1.4 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. In the same period, Bodrumspor showed 56.8% possession, 1 yellow card, 9 fouls, and 0.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Samsunspor's results were: 30.01.2026 Kasimpasa - Samsunspor 0-1, 24.01.2026 Samsunspor - Kocaelispor 0-0, 18.01.2026 Genclerbirligi - Samsunspor 1-1. Bodrumspor's recent results are: 31.01.2026 Bodrumspor - Serik Belediyespor 3-0, 26.01.2026 Sakaryaspor - Bodrumspor 0-2, 19.01.2026 Bodrumspor - Sivasspor 1-2. In their last head-to-head on 26.04.2025, Bodrumspor lost to Samsunspor 1-2.

Goals by Match Statistics

In a five-match series, Samsunspor shows an average total of 1.4 goals, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1 goal per game. Bodrumspor has an average total of 1.8, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.6. Samsunspor has not gone over 2.5 goals in any of their last 5 matches, while Bodrumspor has done so in 2 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, Samsunspor had none, and Bodrumspor had 1 out of 5. In the second half, Samsunspor had none, and Bodrumspor had 1 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals. Samsunspor most frequently scores between 61-75 minutes (40%), and concedes between 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (50% each). Bodrumspor distributes their goals between 16-30, 31-45, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (20% each), and concedes most often between 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (40% each). Given Samsunspor's low scoring and Bodrumspor's moderate over-profile, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.96 seems justified. Arguments for a low-scoring scenario: Samsunspor has 5 out of 5 under 2.5, Bodrumspor has 3 out of 5 under 2.5, both teams' average totals do not exceed 1.8, and there are no consistent overs by halves.

Corner Bets

Samsunspor averages 5 corners over five matches, while Bodrumspor averages 5.6. Both teams have 3 out of 5 matches going over 9.5 corners. For the nearest total of 9.5 corners, both options are available: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.93, under 9.5 at 1.80. Given the activity level in corners, as evidenced by average values and frequency of going over 9.5, a bet on over 9.5 corners is reasonable, considering both teams regularly deliver 5 or more corners per game.