Prediction for match Samsunspor — Istanbul Basaksehir, 14.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the match between Samsunspor and Istanbul Basaksehir on December 14, 2025, bookmakers offer odds of 2.22 for a Samsunspor victory. Draw and Istanbul Basaksehir win are both priced at 3.45. The probability distribution for the outcomes is as follows: Samsunspor - 43.73%, draw - 28.14%, Istanbul Basaksehir - 28.14%. This suggests a slight edge for Samsunspor, but the visitors also have a significant chance of securing a positive result. Odds for over 2.5 goals are at 1.90, under 2.5 goals at 1.98, both teams to score: yes - 1.66, no - 2.09. The double chance X2 is priced at 1.71, indicating no clear favorite.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Samsunspor has an average possession of 49.6%, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 15 fouls, and records 2 offsides per game. Istanbul Basaksehir shows slightly different stats: 53.8% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Samsunspor's last three matches were: December 11 - Samsunspor vs AEK Athens - 1-2, December 5 - Galatasaray vs Samsunspor - 3-2, December 1 - Samsunspor vs Alanyaspor - 1-1. Istanbul Basaksehir's recent three games: December 6 - Istanbul Basaksehir vs Fenerbahce - 1-1, November 29 - Kasimpasa vs Istanbul Basaksehir - 1-3, November 24 - Istanbul Basaksehir vs Trabzonspor - 3-4. The last head-to-head meeting was on February 1, 2025: Istanbul Basaksehir vs Samsunspor - 4-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five games, Samsunspor has an average total of 3.2 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8 per match. Istanbul Basaksehir has an even higher average total of 3.4, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.6. Both teams have played over 2.5 goals in 3 out of their last 5 matches. In the first half, over 1.5 goals were recorded twice for each team, while in the second half, it was 4 times out of 5. This highlights a trend towards a high-scoring finish. Samsunspor often scores in the first 15 minutes (50%), while Istanbul Basaksehir scores most frequently between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%). Samsunspor concedes most frequently between the 46th and 60th minutes (38%), and Istanbul Basaksehir at the end of the game, from the 76th to the 90th minute (44%). This profile of both teams and frequent over 2.5 goal outcomes suggest a bet on a high-scoring match. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.90, which seems an optimal choice given the current statistics.

Corner Totals Analysis

In their last five games, Samsunspor averages 4.6 corners, while Istanbul Basaksehir averages 5.8. Samsunspor's over 9.5 corners occurred 2 out of 5 times, while Istanbul Basaksehir achieved this in all 5 matches. The line for corner totals offers Over 9.5 at 1.87 and Under 9.5 at 1.81. Samsunspor is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.62. The teams collectively average 10.4 corners per match, which is close to the selected total. It makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, given Istanbul Basaksehir's consistency in this aspect and both teams' attacking style.