Prediction for match San Lorenzo — Deportivo Cuenca

San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Cuenca Match Analysis

On April 17, San Lorenzo will face Deportivo Cuenca in the Sudamericana. According to the 1X2 odds, San Lorenzo is the favorite: their win is priced at 1.58, a draw at 3.20, and a Deportivo Cuenca win at 7.80. The probabilities are distributed as follows: San Lorenzo - 58.95%, draw - 29.11%, Deportivo Cuenca - 11.94%. These figures highlight San Lorenzo's clear advantage according to bookmakers' expectations. The market also offers odds on total goals, both teams to score, individual totals, and double chance, allowing for a variety of betting strategies based on team styles.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, San Lorenzo has an average possession of 55.4%, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 12.4 fouls, and records 0.6 offsides per game. Deportivo Cuenca has lower possession at 42.6%, with 2 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 2.4 offsides on average per match. San Lorenzo's recent matches are: April 12 - Newell's Old Boys vs San Lorenzo 0-0, April 8 - Deportivo Recoleta vs San Lorenzo 1-1, April 3 - San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes 1-0. Deportivo Cuenca's last three matches: April 12 - Deportivo Cuenca vs Independiente del Valle 2-3, April 8 - Deportivo Cuenca vs Santos 1-0, April 5 - Emelec vs Deportivo Cuenca 0-2. There are no recent head-to-head results between these teams, adding intrigue to the upcoming game. It's also worth noting that San Lorenzo has drawn twice in their last five matches, while Deportivo Cuenca has secured two wins and one loss in the same period.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Cuenca Match

In their last five matches, both teams have tended towards low-scoring games: San Lorenzo had only 1 out of 5 matches with over 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Cuenca similarly had 1 out of 5. The average goals in San Lorenzo's matches are 2.4, while Deportivo Cuenca's are 2.2. San Lorenzo scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 1.4, while Deportivo Cuenca scores 1.2 and concedes 1. By halves, San Lorenzo had 2 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 1 out of 5 in the second half. Deportivo Cuenca had 1 out of 5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second. This confirms the cautious style of both teams, especially at the start of the game. In terms of goal intervals, San Lorenzo most often scores between 0-15 minutes (33%) and 76-90 (33%), while they concede late: 61-75 and 76-90 (both 29%). Deportivo Cuenca scores most frequently in the 16-30 and 46-60 minute intervals (both 40%), and concedes in the same periods as their opponent: 61-75 and 76-90 (both 43%). All this suggests a low-scoring nature for the match, and a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.54 looks justified, considering this outcome has occurred in 4 of the last 5 matches for both teams and their average scoring rates.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, San Lorenzo takes 4.2 corners per game, while Deportivo Cuenca takes 5. Both teams have 2 out of 5 matches with over 9.5 corners and 3 out of 5 with under. The total closest to their average combined is 9.5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.18, and under is 1.60. San Lorenzo is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.39. Considering both teams' moderate activity in taking corners and the not-so-high frequency of exceeding higher totals, a bet on under 9.5 corners seems logical, but a moderate number of corners is also possible. It's also worth noting the individual numbers: San Lorenzo consistently takes more than 4 corners, while Deportivo Cuenca takes around 5, which could influence the dynamics in this aspect.