Prediction for match San Lorenzo — Lanus, 23.01.2026

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

In the Argentine Professional League on January 23, San Lorenzo will face Lanus. The odds for San Lorenzo to win are 2.43, a draw is priced at 2.70, and Lanus to win is offered at 3.50. The probabilities are distributed as follows: San Lorenzo is estimated at 38.55%, a draw at 34.69%, and Lanus at 26.76%. This suggests a slight advantage for San Lorenzo, but a draw is also considered quite likely. Options for a large victory for either side are rated low, which is reflected in the total goals odds.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at San Lorenzo's last three matches, they lost to Central Cordoba de Santiago 1-2, drew with Atletico Sarmiento 1-1, and had a goalless draw with Rosario Central. In their last three matches, Lanus lost to Tigre 0-1, then secured a high-scoring victory over Atletico Mineiro 5-4, and defeated Atletico Tucuman 3-1. In the only head-to-head meeting during this period, which took place on October 5, 2025, Lanus was stronger than San Lorenzo with a 2-1 scoreline. In secondary metrics, San Lorenzo averages 46% ball possession, receives 4.2 yellow cards, commits 13.8 fouls, and records 1.4 offsides per game over a five-match series. Lanus shows 60.8% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides on average per match. These figures indicate that Lanus controls the ball more often, while San Lorenzo plays more aggressively and commits more fouls.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, San Lorenzo averages 1.8 goals per match, while Lanus averages 2.0. Both teams score an average of 1 goal per game, with San Lorenzo conceding 0.8 and Lanus 1. Both teams have had over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, and under 2.5 in 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals were recorded only once out of 5 for each team, and in the second half, San Lorenzo had it once, while Lanus twice out of 5. This indicates low scoring, especially in the first 45 minutes. In terms of goal intervals, San Lorenzo most often scores in the first 15 minutes (40%), while Lanus scores in the 61-75 and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each). San Lorenzo most often concedes at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes, 50%), Lanus concedes evenly in each of the four quarters: 0-15, 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes. Considering these data, and the fact that both teams do not score highly, with over 2.5 goals occurring in only 2 out of 5 matches for each, the most logical choice seems to be a bet on under 2.0 goals at 1.49. However, this odds is below the acceptable threshold, so the optimal option becomes a bet on BTTS: No at 1.48, where one of the teams is likely not to score. But this odds is also slightly below 1.50, so among the working options, the most balanced and suitable under the conditions is the double chance X2 at 1.53, considering that Lanus lost only one of the last three matches, while San Lorenzo does not win consistently.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

The average number of corners for San Lorenzo over 5 matches is 2.8, and for Lanus it is 2.2, giving a total of 5 corners per game. In a series of five matches, over 9.5 corners occurred only once for each team. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum is 8.5. Odds for over 8.5 corners are 1.66, and for under 8.5 are 2.06. For the outcome on corners, San Lorenzo is the favorite with odds of 1.61. Considering the low average values and the rare occurrence of high totals, it is more logical to consider the option for under 8.5 corners, but a bet on San Lorenzo to win on corners also seems justified by the current numbers. It is also worth noting that Lanus delivers fewer corners than San Lorenzo, which is confirmed by individual averages.