Prediction for match Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Cerezo Osaka

Match Analysis: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka

On April 25, 2026, Sanfrecce Hiroshima will face Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League. The odds for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win are 1.60, a draw is priced at 4.10, and a Cerezo Osaka victory is at 5.02. The probabilities of the outcomes are distributed as follows: 58.51% for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win, 22.84% for a draw, and 18.65% for a Cerezo Osaka win. Thus, Sanfrecce Hiroshima is considered the favorite, although Cerezo Osaka also has a chance given the close odds and draw percentage.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Sanfrecce Hiroshima defeated V-Varen Nagasaki 2-0 (April 18, 2026), played an exciting game against Shimizu S-Pulse winning 6-5 (April 11, 2026), and lost to Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 (April 5, 2026). Cerezo Osaka, in their last three matches, won against Kyoto Sanga 3-0 (April 18, 2026), beat Gamba Osaka 1-0 (April 11, 2026), and lost to Nagoya Grampus 0-3 (April 4, 2026). In their head-to-head on February 22, 2026, Cerezo Osaka lost to Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2. Over the last five matches, Sanfrecce Hiroshima has an average possession of 58.2%, yellow cards at 0.6, fouls at 9.2, and offsides at 3.2. Cerezo Osaka has 52% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. These figures reflect a moderately aggressive style from both teams and good ball control by Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had over 2.5 goals in 2 matches, and under in 3. Cerezo Osaka had over 2.5 goals in 3 matches, and under in 2. Both teams average 2.4 goals per game, with Sanfrecce Hiroshima scoring 1 on average and conceding 1.4, while Cerezo Osaka scores 1.2 and concedes 1.2. In terms of halves, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had over 1.5 goals in the first half once and three times in the second half out of five. Cerezo Osaka had the same, once in the first half and twice in the second half. Sanfrecce Hiroshima most frequently scores between the 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minute marks (25% each), while Cerezo Osaka scores most between the 61-75 minute mark (33%). For goals conceded, Sanfrecce Hiroshima is most vulnerable between the 16-30, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minute marks (25% each), and Cerezo Osaka between the 31-45 and 61-75 minute marks (50% each). Given that both teams regularly participate in high-scoring matches and the average total goals exceed 2, expecting over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.65 seems reasonable.

Corners in the Match

Sanfrecce Hiroshima averages 4.6 corners per game, while Cerezo Osaka averages 4. In the last five matches, Sanfrecce Hiroshima did not surpass the 9.5 corner total, while Cerezo Osaka did so in 2 out of 5 matches. The line offers a couple of totals for corners: over 9.5 is at 1.78, and under 9.5 is at 1.90. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.31. A large number of corners is not expected, but a total around 9.5 seems logical given the average statistics of both teams.