Prediction for match Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Fagiano Okayama

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Fagiano Okayama will take place on 14.02.2026 as part of the J1 League. According to the 1X2 odds, Sanfrecce Hiroshima is the favorite with odds of 1.46, a draw is priced at 4.20, and a win for Fagiano Okayama is at 6.91. The probabilities of outcomes are distributed as follows: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 64.15%, draw 22.30%, Fagiano Okayama 13.55%. This setup reflects Sanfrecce Hiroshima's advantage based on overall statistical indicators and current form. The line also includes options for totals and both teams to score, but the most balanced choice seems to be the total goals market.

Team Results and Statistics

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won their last three matches: on 10.02.2026 against Johor Darul Ta'zim (2-1), on 06.02.2026 over V-Varen Nagasaki (3-1), and on 10.12.2025 against Shanghai Shenhua (1-0). Fagiano Okayama, in the same period, played on 08.02.2026 against Avispa Fukuoka (6-7), on 06.12.2025 against Shimizu S-Pulse (2-1), and on 30.11.2025 against Urawa Red Diamonds (0-1). In their head-to-head on 05.07.2025, Fagiano Okayama lost to Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1. In additional average metrics over a five-match series: Sanfrecce Hiroshima holds possession 59% of the time, records 1.2 yellow cards, commits 8.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Fagiano Okayama has 39.4% possession, 1.6 yellows, 13 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. These figures highlight the difference in style and level of ball control between the teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Sanfrecce Hiroshima shows an average total of 2.8 goals per game, scoring 2 and conceding 0.8. Fagiano Okayama has an average total of 2.4, scoring 1 and conceding 1.4. In the last 5 matches, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had over 2.5 goals 4 times, under 1 time. Fagiano Okayama had over 2.5 goals 2 times, under 3 times. By halves, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times, under 3 times; in the second half - 2 over, 3 under. Fagiano Okayama had no over 1.5 totals in the first half, in the second half - 3 over, 2 under. The most frequent interval for goals scored by Sanfrecce Hiroshima is 76-90 minutes (57%), for Fagiano Okayama - also 76-90 (83%). For goals conceded: Sanfrecce Hiroshima concedes more often between 46-60 (43%), Fagiano Okayama - 61-75 (50%). Considering Sanfrecce Hiroshima consistently scores and often hits over 2.5 totals, while Fagiano Okayama is not highly productive, a logical choice is a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.89. This option is supported by the balance between average productivity and the frequency of under totals for Fagiano Okayama.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Sanfrecce Hiroshima averages 7.6 corners over a five-match series, Fagiano Okayama - 4.4. In the last 5 matches, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had over 9.5 corners 3 times, Fagiano Okayama - 4 times. The line closest to the sum of averages (12) with a pair of odds is over 9.5 corners at 1.69, under 9.5 at 2.02. In the corner outcome, Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with odds of 1.20. Considering that both teams often deliver many corners, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified. Another option is to consider a bet on Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win on corners, given their stable average of over 7 per game.