Prediction for match Santos — Cruzeiro, 07.12.2025

Match Analysis: Santos vs Cruzeiro

In Brazil's Serie A, Santos will face Cruzeiro on December 7th. The 1X2 odds clearly favor Santos: a win for them is at 1.52, a draw is at 4.22, and a Cruzeiro victory is at 6.74. The probability of a Santos win is 63.06%, a draw 22.71%, and a Cruzeiro win 14.22%. These figures reflect confidence in Santos's strength ahead of the match and Cruzeiro's significantly lower chances of a positive result.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Santos has shown solid performance: average ball possession is 47.2%, fouls 11.2, offsides 1, yellow cards 1.4. During the same period, Cruzeiro has displayed 53.2% possession, 14.6 fouls, 1.8 offsides, and 3.2 yellow cards. In their last three matches, Santos defeated Juventude 3-0 (December 3, 2025), thrashed Sport Recife 3-0 (November 29, 2025), and drew with Internacional 1-1 (November 25, 2025). Cruzeiro, in the same timeframe, drew with Botafogo 2-2 (December 4, 2025), had a stalemate with Ceara 1-1 (November 30, 2025), and secured a confident win over Corinthians 3-0 (November 23, 2025). The last head-to-head encounter was on August 10, 2025, ending in a 2-1 victory for Santos at Cruzeiro's ground.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Santos has an average of 2.8 goals per game, scoring an average of 2 and conceding 0.8. Cruzeiro averages 3 goals per match, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2. Both teams have hit over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, indicating a tendency for high-scoring games. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred only once in 5 matches for each team, while in the second half, Cruzeiro had over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, and Santos in 2 out of 5. For goal intervals, Santos most frequently scores between the 16-30, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (22% each), while Cruzeiro scores most often between the 46-60 minutes (44%). Santos concedes most frequently between the 61-75 minutes (50%), and Cruzeiro between the 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Considering this data and their consistent over 2.5 goal matches, betting on over 2.5 goals with odds of 1.99 seems logical.

Corners in the Match

Regarding the average number of corners over the last 5 matches, Santos has 4.6, while Cruzeiro has 6.4, totaling 11. In a five-game series, over 9.5 corners occurred 3 times for both teams. For the total corners of 9.5, the odds are: over 9.5 at 1.66, under 9.5 at 2.14. Santos is the favorite for the corner outcome with odds of 1.40. Based on the average corner sum and frequency, betting on over 9.5 corners looks reasonable, and it's worth considering Santos's edge in this component.