Prediction for match Santos Laguna — Queretaro

Match Analysis: Santos Laguna vs Queretaro

In Liga MX on October 26, Santos Laguna will face Queretaro. According to the 1X2 odds, Santos Laguna is the favorite: their win is priced at 2.05, a draw at 3.60, and a Queretaro victory at 3.50. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 46.40% for a Santos Laguna win, 27.18% for Queretaro, and 26.42% for a draw. This setup confirms Santos Laguna's advantage, but the percentage gap isn't significant, and the difference between a draw and an away win is minimal. The tournament status doesn't affect the odds distribution, so the current form and statistics of the teams are decisive here.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Santos Laguna scored an average of 1 goal and conceded 1.2, with an overall average total of 2.2. They won against Leon (2-0, 18.10.2025) and Tijuana (1-0, 25.09.2025), drew with Mazatlan (2-2, 22.10.2025), but lost to Club America (0-3, 5.10.2025) and Monterrey (0-1, 28.09.2025). During the same period, Queretaro scored an average of 1.2 and conceded 1.8, with an average total of 3. In their last match, Queretaro defeated Guadalajara (1-0, 23.10.2025), but previously lost to Toluca (0-4, 18.10.2025) and Tigres UANL (0-2, 28.09.2025), while winning against Puebla (3-1, 4.10.2025) and drawing with Cruz Azul (2-2, 25.09.2025). In head-to-head encounters, the teams often exchange victories: in April 2025, Queretaro won 2-1, and in November 2024, they played a high-scoring game ending 3-2 in favor of Queretaro.

How Many Goals to Expect?

For the over 2.5 goals market, Santos Laguna had 2 out of 5, while Queretaro had 3 out of 5. The average total over five games is 2.2 for the hosts and 3 for the visitors, indicating matches with three or more goals. Neither team stands out in the first half for high scoring: Santos Laguna never had more than 1.5 goals in the first half over five matches, while Queretaro did so 2 times out of 5. In the second half, both teams had 2 instances out of 5 with more than 1.5 goals. Santos Laguna most frequently scores between the 31st-45th, 61st-75th, and 76th-90th minutes (22% each), while Queretaro tends to score in the first 15 minutes and at the end (0-15 and 76-90 at 27% each). Santos Laguna concedes most often in the second half: intervals 46-60 and 76-90 at 50%. Queretaro is most vulnerable between the 16th-45th minutes. This suggests a balanced goal distribution with an emphasis on the second half.

Corners Statistics

For corners, Santos Laguna averages 3.6 per game over five matches, while Queretaro averages 2.6. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: Santos Laguna had 4 out of 5 matches, Queretaro 3 out of 5. The odds for the total corners are: over 10.5 at 1.98, under 10.5 at 1.82. For corner outcomes, the favorite is Santos Laguna at 1.67.