Prediction for match Santos Laguna — Necaxa

Odds and Probability Percentages

In Liga MX on January 11, Santos Laguna will face Necaxa. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Necaxa is priced at 1.89, Santos Laguna's victory is at 3.58, and a draw is at 3.78. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 49.31% for a Necaxa win, 26.03% for Santos Laguna, and 24.66% for a draw. These figures highlight Necaxa as the clear favorite, with the odds for over 2.5 goals at 1.58, indicating a high likelihood of a high-scoring game. Also, the odds for both teams to score are at 1.52, supporting expectations of goals from both sides.

Team Statistics and Scores

In their last five matches, Santos Laguna averages 45.8% possession, 2.6 offsides, 2.6 yellow cards, and 10.8 fouls per game. Necaxa has higher possession at 50.8%, 0.8 offsides, 2.4 yellow cards, and significantly more fouls at 16.8 per match. Santos Laguna's last three games: 09.11.2025 - Santos Laguna 1-0 Pachuca, 01.11.2025 - Necaxa 4-1 Santos Laguna, 26.10.2025 - Santos Laguna 3-1 Querétaro. Necaxa's recent games: 08.11.2025 - Mazatlán 1-1 Necaxa, 01.11.2025 - Necaxa 4-1 Santos Laguna, 27.10.2025 - Atlético San Luis 3-4 Necaxa. In their last head-to-head on 01.11.2025, Necaxa thrashed Santos Laguna 4-1.

Goal Scoring Trends

In the last five matches, both teams have seen over 2.5 goals three times, and under twice. Santos Laguna averages 3.2 goals per game (scoring 1.8, conceding 1.4), while Necaxa averages 4.8 (scoring 2.6, conceding 2.2). In the second half, Santos Laguna has over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, and Necaxa in 4 out of 5. In the first half, both teams have 2 occurrences of over 1.5 goals in 5 matches. As for goal intervals, Santos Laguna often scores between 0-15 and 46-60 minutes (25% each) and concedes mainly between 61-75 minutes (40%). Necaxa's most frequent scoring interval is 31-45 minutes (29%), and they also concede mainly between 61-75 minutes (36%). This dynamic confirms a high tempo and regular goals, especially in the second half. Against this backdrop, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.58 seems justified - both teams show a high goal profile, and their average goals scored and conceded support the choice for a high-scoring match.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Santos Laguna earns an average of 4.6 corners per match, while Necaxa averages 6.8. In the last 5 games, Santos Laguna exceeded 9.5 corners four times, and Necaxa three times. Considering the total corners, the odds for over 9.5 are at 1.57, and under 9.5 at 2.31. Necaxa is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.82. Given the high averages in corners and frequent occurrences of over 9.5, it's logical to consider betting on over 9.5 corners and also note Necaxa's activity in this area.