Prediction for match Atletico Sarmiento — Union Santa Fe

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Argentina's Professional League on 26.02.2026, Atletico Sarmiento will face Union Santa Fe. The odds for Union Santa Fe's victory are 2.30, for a draw - 2.88, and for Atletico Sarmiento's success - 3.51. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Union Santa Fe 40.75%, draw 32.54%, Atletico Sarmiento 26.70%. Based on these numbers, Union Santa Fe is considered the favorite, but the gap with a draw is not too large. Among additional markets, the bet on Both Teams to Score: No at 1.59 stands out, as well as Over 1.5 goals at 1.59 and Under 2.25 at 1.49. However, the main interest is in the Both Teams to Score: No bet, since it has odds above 1.50 and is supported by team statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Atletico Sarmiento played as follows: 20.02.2026 Estudiantes - Atletico Sarmiento 1-0, 14.02.2026 Huracan - Atletico Sarmiento 1-0, 08.02.2026 Atletico Sarmiento - Atletico Tucuman 2-1. During the same period, Union Santa Fe showed the following results: 23.02.2026 Union Santa Fe - Aldosivi 1-0, 14.02.2026 Union Santa Fe - San Lorenzo 0-0, 07.02.2026 Central Cordoba de Santiago - Union Santa Fe 1-0. In their head-to-head on 30.09.2024, Atletico Sarmiento and Union Santa Fe played 1-0. Over the last 5 matches, Atletico Sarmiento had an average possession of 54.2%, while Union Santa Fe had 49.8%. In terms of yellow cards, Atletico Sarmiento averaged 4.2, and Union Santa Fe 1.8. Fouls: Atletico Sarmiento 14.6, Union Santa Fe 12.4. Offsides: Atletico Sarmiento 0.8, Union Santa Fe 1.6. These figures indicate a more aggressive and active defense and midfield from Atletico Sarmiento, while Union Santa Fe commits fewer fouls and receives fewer cards.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, both teams have an average of 1.8 goals per game. Atletico Sarmiento scores an average of 0.8, while Union Santa Fe scores 1.2, conceding 1 and 0.6 respectively. For Over 2.5 goals: both teams have 2 out of 5 on over, 3 out of 5 on under. For Over 1.5 goals: Atletico Sarmiento has 3 out of 5 on over, Union Santa Fe also 3 out of 5 on over. In the first half, Over 1.5 was recorded 1 out of 5 times for both teams, in the second half Atletico Sarmiento 1 out of 5, Union Santa Fe 2 out of 5. The most frequent scoring intervals for Atletico Sarmiento are 16-30, 31-45, and 46-60 minutes (29% each), for Union Santa Fe - 76-90 minutes (38%). Both teams most frequently concede goals in the 61-75 minute interval (100%). Overall, the low scoring of Atletico Sarmiento and the solid defense of Union Santa Fe suggest a low-scoring game. Union Santa Fe scores more but concedes little, while Atletico Sarmiento struggles offensively. The bet on Both Teams to Score: No at 1.59 seems logical: Atletico Sarmiento's average goals scored is below 1, and Union Santa Fe consistently keeps a clean sheet.

Corners in the Match

The average number of corners for both teams over 5 matches is the same - 3.8. For Over 9.5 corners: both teams have only 1 out of 5 on over, 4 out of 5 on under. Considering the total corners, the closest line to the sum of average values is 7.5-8.5. For a total of 8.5 corners: Over 8.5 is at 1.71, Under 8.5 is at 1.99. In terms of corners, Union Santa Fe is the favorite with odds of 1.55. Overall, it makes sense to expect a match with a low number of corners, as both teams do not show high figures in this component, and Over 9.5 total corners was rarely recorded. The bet on Under 8.5 corners looks justified based on recent game statistics.