Prediction for match Sassuolo — Fiorentina

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

Sassuolo and Fiorentina will face off in a Serie A match on December 6. The odds for a Fiorentina win are 2.68, for a Sassuolo victory - 2.92, and a draw is priced at 3.34. In terms of probabilities: Fiorentina - 36.76%, Sassuolo - 33.74%, draw - 29.50%. Fiorentina is the favorite according to the odds, but the gap between the teams is not significant. The options for over 2.5 goals are offered at 2.16, and under 2.5 at 1.81. Both teams to score: yes - 1.79, no - 1.94. The double chance on Sassuolo or draw is at 1.53. A 1-1 correct score is priced at 6.00.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Sassuolo played as follows: November 28 - Como vs Sassuolo 2-0, November 24 - Sassuolo vs Pisa 2-2, November 9 - Atalanta vs Sassuolo 0-3. Fiorentina's recent results: November 30 - Atalanta vs Fiorentina 2-0, November 27 - Fiorentina vs AEK Athens 0-1, November 22 - Fiorentina vs Juventus 1-1. In their last head-to-head on April 28, 2024, Fiorentina thrashed Sassuolo 5-1. Secondary statistics over 5 matches show: Sassuolo's possession is 49.4%, average yellow cards 2, fouls 11.8, offsides 2.4. Fiorentina's possession is 52%, yellow cards 3, fouls 12, offsides 1. These figures indicate roughly equal ball control and a slight edge for Fiorentina in discipline and activity.

Goal Scoring Trends

In terms of totals over five matches, Sassuolo had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5, Fiorentina in 2 out of 5. The average number of goals in Sassuolo's matches is 3, for Fiorentina - 2.4. Sassuolo scored an average of 1.6, conceded 1.4; Fiorentina scored 0.8, conceded 1.6. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for each team out of 5, while in the second half, Sassuolo had 4 instances of over 1.5, Fiorentina - 2. As for goal intervals: Sassuolo most frequently scores between 0-15 and 46-60 minutes (33% each), Fiorentina - in 46-60 minutes (50%). Sassuolo concedes most often from 16 to 90 minutes (22% for each of the four intervals), Fiorentina - from 16 to 45 minutes (40% for each of the two intervals). This profile suggests regular goals from Sassuolo and an unstable Fiorentina defense, especially in the second half. Considering the average figures, frequent over 2.5 goals for Sassuolo, and the 2.16 odds for over 2.5 goals, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Corner Bets

Over 5 matches, Sassuolo averaged 4 corners, Fiorentina - 5.6. The frequency of over 9.5 total corners: Sassuolo - 2 out of 5, Fiorentina - 3 out of 5. The nearest to the sum of averages total is 8.5: for over 8.5 total corners, the odds are 1.77, for under - 1.94. Fiorentina is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 2.12. Based on these indicators, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 8.5 total corners, given Fiorentina's attacking style and Sassuolo's consistent deliveries. Also, individual stats are worth noting: Fiorentina's average is higher, confirmed by frequent total overs in their matches.